Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Lloyd Hamilton        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3742294    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (13- 5, 88.6)     3-18   
 401 H Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (12- 7, 85.8)    14-12   
 405 H Henninger-Nottingham   NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-10, 75.8)    16- 8   
 408 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5- 9, 75.4)    17- 7   
 409 A Watertown, NY          NY B  Sec 3   (15- 2, 93.4)     2-19   
 412 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 77.8)    12- 6   
 414 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5- 9, 75.4)    15- 8   
 416 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (15- 3, 91.7)     6-10   
 418 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 73.4)    14-11   
 429 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (19- 1, 99.9)    10-21   
 502 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 93.0)     8-18   
 506 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 69.6)    14- 9   
 510 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (15- 3, 91.7)     8-17   
 513 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 88.5)    13-14   
 517 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   (11-10, 81.9)    13-11   
 519 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 93.0)     5-14   
 524 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 88.5)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Marcellus               3-18     -15    -7    -     -2.08
   401 H Carthage               14-12       2    -3    ++     5.72
   405 H Henninger-Nottingham   16- 8       8     6           1.72
   408 H Auburn                 17- 7      10     6    +      3.38
   409 A Watertown, NY           2-19     -17   -12           0.00
   412 H Central Square         12- 6       6     4           1.75
   414 A Auburn                 15- 8       7     5           1.74
   416 H Liverpool               6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.59
   418 A Corcoran-Fowler        14-11       3     7    --    -4.32
   429 H West Genesee           10-21     -11   -17           0.00
   502 A Baldwinsville           8-18     -10   -12           0.00
   506 H Rome Free Academy      14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   510 A Liverpool               8-17      -9   -10           1.00
   513 H Fayetteville-Manlius   13-14      -1    -6    ++     5.39
   517 A Oswego                 13-11       2    -1    +      3.22
   519 H Baldwinsville           5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   524 A Fayetteville-Manlius    6-12      -6    -7           1.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Corcoran-Fowler        14-11       3     7    --    -4.32
   506 H Rome Free Academy      14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   329 A Marcellus               3-18     -15    -7    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Carthage               14-12       2    -3    ++     5.72
   416 H Liverpool               6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.59
   513 H Fayetteville-Manlius   13-14      -1    -6    ++     5.39
   408 H Auburn                 17- 7      10     6    +      3.38
   517 A Oswego                 13-11       2    -1    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.39 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.68 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/