Carman-Ainsworth              3 - 9


 
                                     Region = MI    DII              
   Nickname = I Cavaliers            Coach  =   Tim Bausack           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   76.0184784    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Gabriel Richard        MI    DII     ( 1-12, 68.1)     6-10   
 330 A DeWitt                 MI    DII     ( 1-15, 69.9)    16- 6   
 401 A Oxford Club            MI    Club    ( 0- 1, 86.2)    20- 6   
 411 H Gabriel Richard        MI    DII     ( 1-12, 68.1)    10- 7   
 413 N Midland, MI            MI    DI      ( 5- 7, 75.0)     5- 7   
 503 H Flushing               MI    DII     ( 5- 6, 80.1)     3-15   
 505 H Saginaw Heritage       MI    DII     ( 2- 6, 70.6)    10-12   
 510 A Flushing               MI    DII     ( 5- 6, 80.1)     5-13   
 511 A Midland, MI            MI    DI      ( 5- 7, 75.0)     3-12   
 517 N Saginaw Heritage       MI    DII     ( 2- 6, 70.6)     9-12   
 527 A Powers CS              MI    DII     (13- 8, 89.0)     2-19   
 531 H DeWitt                 MI    DII     ( 1-15, 69.9)     9-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Gabriel Richard         6-10      -4     1    --    -5.13
   330 A DeWitt                 16- 6      10     0    +++   10.66
   401 A Oxford Club            20- 6      14   -16          n/a  
   411 H Gabriel Richard        10- 7       3     2           0.33
   413 N Midland, MI             5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.95
   503 H Flushing                3-15     -12    -9          -0.67
   505 H Saginaw Heritage       10-12      -2     0    -     -2.16
   510 A Flushing                5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   511 A Midland, MI             3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.29
   517 N Saginaw Heritage        9-12      -3     0    -     -2.40
   527 A Powers CS               2-19     -17   -19           0.00
   531 H DeWitt                  9-11      -2     0    -     -2.87


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Gabriel Richard         6-10      -4     1    --    -5.13
   505 H Saginaw Heritage       10-12      -2     0    -     -2.16
   511 A Midland, MI             3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.29
   517 N Saginaw Heritage        9-12      -3     0    -     -2.40
   531 H DeWitt                  9-11      -2     0    -     -2.87


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A DeWitt                 16- 6      10     0    +++   10.66
   401 A Oxford Club            20- 6      14   -16    +++        
   413 N Midland, MI             5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.95
   510 A Flushing                5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.01 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.83 Local SOS Rank.............    63
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.24 Local RPI Rank.............    63
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3


  
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