Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Laura Nelson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8009186    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 68.5)    21-11   
 321 H Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 89.9)     7-18   
 324 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 81.7)     7-13   
 328 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 71.5)    18- 9   
 331 H Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 79.8)    17-16  o
 404 A Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 2-11, 64.2)    15- 3   
 407 H Tuscarora, VA          VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 50.3)    27- 1   
 411 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   ( 6- 7, 75.3)    17-16   
 414 H Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 58.9)    20- 0   
 425 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 81.7)    15-16 2o
 428 A Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (14- 7, 83.4)    12-17   
 502 A George Mason           VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 66.9)    21-12   
 505 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 71.5)    14-11   
 513 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 71.5)    14-11   
 515 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 81.7)    12-13   
 518 N Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 79.8)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Heritage, VA           21-11      10     9           0.40
   321 H Loudoun Valley          7-18     -11   -10           0.00
   324 A Freedom-South Riding    7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.39
   328 A Potomac Falls          18- 9       9     6    +      2.39
   331 H Loudoun County         17-16  o    1     0           1.06
   404 A Dominion               15- 3      12    13           0.00
   407 H Tuscarora, VA          27- 1      26    29           0.00
   411 H Broad Run              17-16       1     4    -     -3.50
   414 H Park View              20- 0      20    20           0.00
   425 H Freedom-South Riding   15-16 2o   -1    -1           0.93
   428 A Woodgrove              12-17      -5    -5           0.35
   502 A George Mason           21-12       9    11          -1.00
   505 H Potomac Falls          14-11       3     8    --    -5.28
   513 H Potomac Falls          14-11       3     8    --    -5.28
   515 A Freedom-South Riding   12-13      -1    -3    +      2.61
   518 N Loudoun County          7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 N Loudoun County          7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.11
   505 H Potomac Falls          14-11       3     8    --    -5.28
   513 H Potomac Falls          14-11       3     8    --    -5.28
   324 A Freedom-South Riding    7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.39
   411 H Broad Run              17-16       1     4    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Potomac Falls          18- 9       9     6    +      2.39
   515 A Freedom-South Riding   12-13      -1    -3    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.93 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.91 Local SOS Rank.............    63
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/