Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Keri Stenta           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7119522    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 2, 99.9)     5-18   
 331 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 73.4)    15-14   
 405 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 6- 8, 82.8)    14-12   
 407 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 7- 5, 80.4)    11- 6   
 408 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (10- 4, 90.9)    10-17   
 412 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 77.6)     5-15   
 414 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 76.2)    13-12   
 419 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   (12- 6, 89.8)     2-12   
 421 A Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 6- 8, 75.2)    16- 9   
 426 A Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   (11- 3, 85.5)    22-16   
 428 H Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   ( 2-13, 68.0)    17- 6   
 430 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 76.2)    17-10   
 506 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 2, 99.9)     4-22   
 509 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (10- 4, 90.9)    11-12   
 513 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 6- 8, 82.8)    12-19   
 516 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   (12- 6, 89.8)     6-10   
 520 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 76.2)    19- 9   
 524 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 2, 99.9)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Corning                 5-18     -13   -15           0.00
   331 A Corcoran-Fowler        15-14       1     7          n/a  
   405 H Union-Endicott         14-12       2     2          -0.03
   407 H Seton Catholic Central 11- 6       5     4           0.57
   408 A Vestal                 10-17      -7   -10    +      3.00
   412 A Cortland                5-15     -10     3          n/a  
   414 A Ithaca                 13-12       1     4    -     -3.46
   419 A Horseheads              2-12     -10    -9          -0.88
   421 A Owego Free Academy     16- 9       7     5           1.54
   426 A Maine-Endwell          22-16       6    -4    +++   10.84
   428 H Johnson City           17- 6      11    16           0.00
   430 H Ithaca                 17-10       7     8          -1.61
   506 A Corning                 4-22     -18   -19           0.00
   509 H Vestal                 11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.03
   513 H Union-Endicott         12-19      -7     2    ---   -9.03
   516 H Horseheads              6-10      -4    -4           0.97
   520 H Ithaca                 19- 9      10     8           1.39
   524 A Corning                 3-17     -14   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Corcoran-Fowler        15-14       1     7    ---        
   412 A Cortland                5-15     -10     3    ---        
   513 H Union-Endicott         12-19      -7     2    ---   -9.03
   414 A Ithaca                 13-12       1     4    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Maine-Endwell          22-16       6    -4    +++   10.84
   509 H Vestal                 11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.03
   408 A Vestal                 10-17      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.76 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.58 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/