Conf =  A                         Region = NY B  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Scott Reynolds        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6716919    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 90.4)     3-16   
 409 A Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 71.7)     5- 4   
 412 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 98.1)     4-13   
 414 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (11- 7, 90.8)     2-12   
 415 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 84.1)     4-14   
 419 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-16, 72.2)    10- 6   
 421 A Saratoga Springs, NY   NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 91.8)     2-17   
 426 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (17- 2, 99.9)     4-16   
 427 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 74.2)    14- 4   
 430 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 84.1)     5-14   
 503 H Burnt Hills-Ballston L NY B  Sec 2   ( 9-11, 86.1)     6-10   
 505 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (14- 2, 99.2)     2-14   
 506 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 90.4)     4-17   
 509 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (17- 2, 99.9)     4-16   
 511 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 71.7)     5- 2   
 516 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-12, 71.8)    12- 8   
 518 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (14- 3, 89.7)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Colonie                 3-16     -13   -11           0.00
   409 A Columbia, NY            5- 4       1     6    --    -5.26
   412 A Niskayuna               4-13      -9   -20           1.00
   414 H Shenendehowa            2-12     -10   -11           0.00
   415 A Bethlehem               4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.87
   419 H Ballston Spa           10- 6       4     6    -     -2.68
   421 A Saratoga Springs, NY    2-17     -15   -13           0.00
   426 H Guilderland             4-16     -12   -20           0.00
   427 A Emma Willard           14- 4      10     3    +++    6.22
   430 H Bethlehem               5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.85
   503 H Burnt Hills-Ballston L  6-10      -4    -7    +      3.19
   505 A Shaker                  2-14     -12   -21           0.00
   506 A Colonie                 4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   509 A Guilderland             4-16     -12   -21           0.00
   511 H Columbia, NY            5- 2       3     7    --    -4.23
   516 H Scotia-Glenville       12- 8       4     7    -     -3.15
   518 A Queensbury              8- 9      -1   -11    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Columbia, NY            5- 4       1     6    --    -5.26
   511 H Columbia, NY            5- 2       3     7    --    -4.23
   415 A Bethlehem               4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.87
   419 H Ballston Spa           10- 6       4     6    -     -2.68
   430 H Bethlehem               5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.85
   516 H Scotia-Glenville       12- 8       4     7    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Emma Willard           14- 4      10     3    +++    6.22
   518 A Queensbury              8- 9      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   503 H Burnt Hills-Ballston L  6-10      -4    -7    +      3.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.43 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.84 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/