Region = VA    NW AAA           
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Laurie Pratt          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.4924469    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-12, 67.9)    19- 9   
 317 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 83.8)    15-19   
 321 H Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 1-11, 66.2)    16- 4   
 414 A St. Catherine's, VA    VA    LIS     (10- 8, 84.8)     3-16   
 418 H Covenant School        VA    LIS     ( 4-10, 72.4)    18-14   
 421 A Collegiate School      VA    LIS     (18- 8, 91.7)     3-14   
 426 A Godwin                 VA    WV      (10- 4, 81.4)    12-16   
 429 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 3, 91.7)     5-18   
 503 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 83.8)     7-19   
 505 H Douglas Freeman        VA    WV      (13- 4, 82.3)    17-16   
 509 A Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 1-11, 66.2)    19- 8   
 513 A Osbourn Park           VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 85.8)     9-21   
 523 H Forest Park            VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 9, 72.5)    16- 9   
 525 A Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (14- 5, 88.6)     8-22   
 527 H Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 89.9)     4-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Charlottesville        19- 9      10     6    +      3.43
   317 H Monticello, VA         15-19      -4    -7    +      3.71
   321 H Rockbridge County      16- 4      12     9           0.04
   414 A St. Catherine's, VA     3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   418 H Covenant School        18-14       4     3           0.31
   421 A Collegiate School       3-14     -11   -17           0.00
   426 A Godwin                 12-16      -4    -6    +      2.95
   429 A Western Albemarle       5-18     -13   -17           0.00
   503 A Monticello, VA          7-19     -12    -9          -0.62
   505 H Douglas Freeman        17-16       1    -6    +++    7.16
   509 A Rockbridge County      19- 8      11     8           1.71
   513 A Osbourn Park            9-21     -12   -11           0.00
   523 H Forest Park            16- 9       7     3    +      3.34
   525 A Battlefield             8-22     -14   -14           0.00
   527 H Loudoun Valley          4-22     -18   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Douglas Freeman        17-16       1    -6    +++    7.16
   315 A Charlottesville        19- 9      10     6    +      3.43
   317 H Monticello, VA         15-19      -4    -7    +      3.71
   426 A Godwin                 12-16      -4    -6    +      2.95
   523 H Forest Park            16- 9       7     3    +      3.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.29 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.61 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/