Region = VA    Natl             
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Anne Bodner           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5106964    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 4- 8, 78.5)    10- 6   
 318 H McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 4- 9, 77.2)    10- 2   
 324 A Chantilly              VA    Cncrd   (12- 5, 92.7)     5-15   
 407 A George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   ( 7- 7, 84.0)    11- 9   
 409 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 7- 9, 77.3)    11- 2   
 413 H Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   (11- 5, 91.7)    11- 9   
 415 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-10, 61.9)    16- 1   
 419 A Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 5- 7, 74.4)    16- 3   
 421 H South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 0-12, 66.4)    15- 4   
 422 A Thomas Alva Edison     VA    Natl    ( 5- 8, 74.1)    17- 6   
 423 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 0-14, 57.5)    17- 1   
 427 H Mt. Vernon             VA    Natl    ( 2-10, 70.2)    13- 1   
 429 A Hayfield               VA    Natl    (10- 5, 84.3)    13- 8   
 504 A Fairfax                VA    Lbrty   ( 2-10, 74.5)     8- 7   
 506 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 0-14, 57.5)    13- 0   
 510 H Thomas Alva Edison     VA    Natl    ( 5- 8, 74.1)    17- 7   
 513 H Hayfield               VA    Natl    (10- 5, 84.3)     9- 8   
 518 H George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   ( 7- 7, 84.0)    12- 9   
 520 H Annandale              VA    Pat     (15- 6, 92.0)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A West Potomac           10- 6       4     9    --    -5.11
   318 H McLean, VA             10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   324 A Chantilly               5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.93
   407 A George C. Marshall     11- 9       2     3          -1.65
   409 H Washington-Lee         11- 2       9    12          -1.00
   413 H Westfield, VA          11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.16
   415 A J.E.B. Stuart          16- 1      15    25           0.00
   419 A Falls Church           16- 3      13    13           0.00
   421 H South Lakes            15- 4      11    23           0.00
   422 A Thomas Alva Edison     17- 6      11    13           0.00
   423 H Wakefield HS, VA       17- 1      16    32           0.00
   427 H Mt. Vernon             13- 1      12    19           0.00
   429 A Hayfield               13- 8       5     3           1.69
   504 A Fairfax                 8- 7       1    13    ---   -9.00
   506 H Wakefield HS, VA       13- 0      13    32           0.00
   510 H Thomas Alva Edison     17- 7      10    15           0.00
   513 H Hayfield                9- 8       1     5    --    -4.17
   518 H George C. Marshall     12- 9       3     5    -     -2.51
   520 H Annandale               9-10  o   -1    -2           1.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Fairfax                 8- 7       1    13    ---   -9.00
   317 A West Potomac           10- 6       4     9    --    -5.11
   324 A Chantilly               5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.93
   513 H Hayfield                9- 8       1     5    --    -4.17
   318 H McLean, VA             10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   518 H George C. Marshall     12- 9       3     5    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Westfield, VA          11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.59 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.26 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   104
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/