Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Kristen Zbrzezny      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6923599    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.6)     3- 8   
 401 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)     9-19   
 406 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 76.9)    18- 6   
 407 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 91.0)     4-10   
 409 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 84.1)    11- 7   
 413 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)    10- 7   
 414 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 98.4)     7-18   
 415 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 8, 88.9)     5- 7   
 418 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)    16- 9   
 426 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 91.7)     4-14   
 428 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)    10-15   
 430 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 76.9)    14- 5   
 501 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.1)     9-13   
 504 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 91.0)     7-10   
 506 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.1)     3-14   
 510 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)    13-11   
 512 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 97.9)     7-15   
 513 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 3, 99.9)  1
 520 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.1)    11-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Frontier                3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   401 H Lake Shore              9-19     -10   -11           0.00
   406 H Grand Island           18- 6      12     9           0.15
   407 H Iroquois                4-10      -6    -4          -1.82
   409 A Sweet Home             11- 7       4     0    +      3.19
   413 A Williamsville South    10- 7       3     3          -0.40
   414 A Amherst                 7-18     -11   -13           0.00
   415 H East Aurora             5- 7      -2    -2           0.09
   418 H Williamsville South    16- 9       7     5           1.75
   426 A Orchard Park            4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.23
   428 A Lake Shore             10-15      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   430 A Grand Island           14- 5       9     7           1.00
   501 A West Seneca East        9-13      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   504 A Iroquois                7-10      -3    -6    +      3.03
   506 H West Seneca East        3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   510 H Williamsville South    13-11       2     5    -     -3.25
   512 H Williamsville North     7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   520 A West Seneca East       11-18      -7   -14    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Orchard Park            4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.23
   510 H Williamsville South    13-11       2     5    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A West Seneca East        9-13      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   329 H Frontier                3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   428 A Lake Shore             10-15      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   409 A Sweet Home             11- 7       4     0    +      3.19
   504 A Iroquois                7-10      -3    -6    +      3.03
   512 H Williamsville North     7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   520 A West Seneca East       11-18      -7   -14    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.86 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.42 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/