Region = CT    Div 2            
   Nickname = T Lancers              Coach  =   Audrey Montanaro      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.2251434    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Morgan School          CT    Div 2   ( 4-11, 69.4)     9-10   
 408 A Old Saybrook           CT    Div 2   ( 1-14, 64.7)    12- 4   
 410 H Ledyard                CT    Div 2   ( 9- 8, 75.1)    10-11   
 412 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Div 1   (13- 6, 84.4)     8-18   
 415 A Stonington             CT    Div 2   ( 7- 8, 75.1)    10- 9   
 420 H East Lyme              CT    Div 1   (16- 3, 88.1)     3-13   
 422 H Fitch                  CT    Div 2   ( 3-12, 71.7)    12- 7   
 427 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 62.8)    14- 2   
 429 H Bacon Academy          CT    Indep   ( 2-11, 67.5)    16- 6   
 504 A Ledyard                CT    Div 2   ( 9- 8, 75.1)    13- 4   
 506 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Div 1   (13- 6, 84.4)     9-10   
 507 A Bacon Academy          CT    Indep   ( 2-11, 67.5)    13- 6   
 511 A East Lyme              CT    Div 1   (16- 3, 88.1)     9-13   
 518 A Fitch                  CT    Div 2   ( 3-12, 71.7)    14-10   
 520 H Woodstock Academy      CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 62.8)    14- 6   
 524 H Capital Prep           CT    Div 2   ( 0-14, 56.5)    16- 0   
 526 A St. Bernard, CT        CT    Div 2   (15- 5, 86.4)    10-11 2o
 601 H East Catholic          CT    Div 2   ( 7-10, 74.4)    14- 2   
 603 A Haddam-Killingworth    CT    Div 2   (15- 4, 83.7)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Morgan School           9-10      -1     9    ---  -10.02
   408 A Old Saybrook           12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   410 H Ledyard                10-11      -1     5    ---   -6.20
   412 A Norwich Free Acad       8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.03
   415 A Stonington             10- 9       1     3    -     -2.36
   420 H East Lyme               3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.18
   422 H Fitch                  12- 7       5     8    -     -3.59
   427 A Woodstock Academy      14- 2      12    15           0.00
   429 H Bacon Academy          16- 6      10    12           0.00
   504 A Ledyard                13- 4       9     3    ++     5.62
   506 H Norwich Free Acad       9-10      -1    -4    +      3.16
   507 A Bacon Academy          13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   511 A East Lyme               9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.64
   518 A Fitch                  14-10       4     6    -     -2.77
   520 H Woodstock Academy      14- 6       8    17    -     -2.00
   524 H Capital Prep           16- 0      16    23           0.00
   526 A St. Bernard, CT        10-11 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.93
   601 H East Catholic          14- 2      12     5    ++     4.17
   603 A Haddam-Killingworth    10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Morgan School           9-10      -1     9    ---  -10.02
   410 H Ledyard                10-11      -1     5    ---   -6.20
   412 A Norwich Free Acad       8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.03
   408 A Old Saybrook           12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   415 A Stonington             10- 9       1     3    -     -2.36
   420 H East Lyme               3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.18
   422 H Fitch                  12- 7       5     8    -     -3.59
   507 A Bacon Academy          13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   518 A Fitch                  14-10       4     6    -     -2.77
   520 H Woodstock Academy      14- 6       8    17    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   526 A St. Bernard, CT        10-11 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.93
   504 A Ledyard                13- 4       9     3    ++     5.62
   511 A East Lyme               9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.64
   601 H East Catholic          14- 2      12     5    ++     4.17
   603 A Haddam-Killingworth    10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.31
   506 H Norwich Free Acad       9-10      -1    -4    +      3.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.35 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.77 Local SOS Rank.............    70
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/