Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   Bernie Gibson         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.9159851    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H North Hagerstown       MD    3A-2A   ( 0-11, 54.3)    19- 4   
 325 A Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   (10- 4, 94.9)     2-23   
 331 H Francis Scott Key      MD    3A-2A   ( 4- 8, 73.5)    10-11   
 406 H Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (12- 6, 91.5)     2-25   
 410 H Brunswick, MD          MD    2A-1A   ( 6- 9, 66.9)    16- 8   
 413 A Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (13- 2, 85.0)     8-17   
 419 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 7, 69.2)    15-11   
 420 A Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 8, 76.1)     9-15   
 422 A Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 7, 77.9)     8-18   
 427 H Tuscarora              MD    3A-2A   ( 1-11, 57.5)    14- 3   
 429 A Walkersville           MD    3A-2A   ( 5- 9, 72.0)     7-11   
 504 H Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 5-11, 65.4)    14- 7   
 506 A Smithsburg             MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 4, 70.4)    12- 6   
 513 H Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 9, 59.3)    16- 7   
 515 A Northwest, MD          MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 5, 69.1)    15-10   
 517 H Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 8, 76.1)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H North Hagerstown       19- 4      15    18           0.00
   325 A Liberty, MD             2-23     -21   -23           0.00
   331 H Francis Scott Key      10-11      -1     0          -0.72
   406 H Westminster, MD         2-25     -23   -18           0.00
   410 H Brunswick, MD          16- 8       8     6           1.67
   413 A Middletown, MD          8-17      -9   -13           1.00
   419 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   15-11       4     2           1.89
   420 A Urbana                  9-15      -6    -4          -1.22
   422 A Linganore               8-18     -10    -6    -     -3.36
   427 H Tuscarora              14- 3      11    15           0.00
   429 A Walkersville            7-11      -4     0    -     -3.28
   504 H Frederick              14- 7       7     7          -0.77
   506 A Smithsburg             12- 6       6     0    ++     5.09
   513 H Magruder               16- 7       9    13          -1.00
   515 A Northwest, MD          15-10       5     2    +      2.78
   517 H Urbana                 11-12      -1    -2           1.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Linganore               8-18     -10    -6    -     -3.36
   429 A Walkersville            7-11      -4     0    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Smithsburg             12- 6       6     0    ++     5.09
   515 A Northwest, MD          15-10       5     2    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.25 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.59 Local SOS Rank.............    70
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    63
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/