Region = MA    Cen D1           
   Nickname = A Warriors                                              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.0959549    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (12-10, 78.1)    10-16   
 406 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 0-15, 61.2)    20- 9   
 415 A Nipmuc                 MA    Cen D1  (10- 8, 73.1)     9-15   
 420 H Northbridge                                           17- 2                                     
 422 A Worcester Public       MA    Cen D1  ( 1-12, 56.9)    16- 4   
 423 H St. Peter-Marian       MA    Cen D1  ( 7- 7, 69.6)    18- 8   
 427 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    Cen D1  ( 6- 8, 69.1)    13-11   
 430 A Falmouth HS, MA        MA    So D1   (12- 6, 77.6)     8-11   
 504 H Nipmuc                 MA    Cen D1  (10- 8, 73.1)    12- 5   
 505 A Belchertown            MA    West D1 ( 2-15, 64.8)    13- 8   
 506 A Northbridge                                           20- 6                                     
 510 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 72.7)     5-11   
 511 H Worcester Public       MA    Cen D1  ( 1-12, 56.9)    14- 2   
 513 H St. Peter-Marian       MA    Cen D1  ( 7- 7, 69.6)    18- 8   
 514 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    Cen D1  ( 6- 8, 69.1)    18-10   
 517 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 0-15, 61.2)    12- 1   
 521 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 4, 88.8)     7-17   
 522 A Shrewsbury             MA    Cen D1  (15- 6, 87.8)     4-15   
 524 H Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (20- 2, 93.9)     5-20   
 603 A Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  (11- 8, 77.2)    11-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H South Hadley           10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.09
   406 H Cathedral, MA          20- 9      11    14           0.00
   415 A Nipmuc                  9-15      -6     1    ---   -7.33
   422 A Worcester Public       16- 4      12    17           0.00
   423 H St. Peter-Marian       18- 8      10     6    +      3.44
   427 A Grafton Memorial, MA   13-11       2     5    -     -3.38
   430 A Falmouth HS, MA         8-11      -3    -3           0.09
   504 H Nipmuc                 12- 5       7     3    +      3.99
   505 A Belchertown            13- 8       5     9    --    -4.70
   510 A Amherst-Pelham          5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.80
   511 H Worcester Public       14- 2      12    19           0.00
   513 H St. Peter-Marian       18- 8      10     6    +      3.44
   514 H Grafton Memorial, MA   18-10       8     7           0.95
   517 A Cathedral, MA          12- 1      11    13           0.00
   521 H Minnechaug              7-17     -10   -12           0.00
   522 A Shrewsbury              4-15     -11   -13           0.00
   524 H Westborough             5-20     -15   -17           0.00
   603 A Nashoba Regional       11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Nipmuc                  9-15      -6     1    ---   -7.33
   510 A Amherst-Pelham          5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.80
   402 H South Hadley           10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.09
   505 A Belchertown            13- 8       5     9    --    -4.70
   427 A Grafton Memorial, MA   13-11       2     5    -     -3.38
   603 A Nashoba Regional       11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H St. Peter-Marian       18- 8      10     6    +      3.44
   504 H Nipmuc                 12- 5       7     3    +      3.99
   513 H St. Peter-Marian       18- 8      10     6    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.32 Local Power Rank...........    74
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.07 Local SOS Rank.............   108
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    83
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   138
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    69
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3
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