Region = DC    ISL A            
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kara Thiede           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.5011597    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  (11-11, 82.7)    11- 7   
 318 A Sidwell Friends        DC    ISL A   ( 6- 9, 77.1)     9- 8   
 319 A Paul VI Catholic, VA   DC    WCAC    ( 4-14, 68.8)    13- 7   
 323 A Holy Cross, MD         DC    WCAC    (13- 8, 86.8)     9-15   
 324 A Oakton                 VA    Cncrd   ( 9- 6, 92.2)     9-19   
 408 H Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  (21- 2, 91.3)    11-12  o
 409 H Mason, OH              OH    D1 S    (11- 5, 88.1)     7- 8   
 413 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL A   (24- 3, 99.6)     4-14   
 415 H Potomac School         DC    ISL A   (11- 7, 88.3)     7-10   
 420 A Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  ( 8-10, 82.0)     8- 9   
 422 H Bullis School          DC    ISL A   ( 6-14, 80.4)     7-13   
 427 A National Cathedral, DC DC    ISL A   ( 5- 9, 80.2)     9- 8   
 429 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL A   ( 6-11, 81.8)     9- 8   
 430 H Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    ( 3- 9, 72.4)   
 504 H Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL A   (14- 4, 94.2)     7-13   
 505 N National Cathedral, DC DC    ISL A   ( 5- 9, 80.2)     9- 8  o
 508 N Potomac School         DC    ISL A   (11- 7, 88.3)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Holy Child, MD         11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.21
   318 A Sidwell Friends         9- 8       1     4    -     -3.03
   319 A Paul VI Catholic, VA   13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   323 A Holy Cross, MD          9-15      -6    -5          -0.29
   324 A Oakton                  9-19     -10   -11          n/a  
   408 H Episcopal, VA          11-12  o   -1    -9    +++    8.80
   409 H Mason, OH               7- 8      -1    -6          n/a  
   413 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  4-14     -10   -18           0.00
   415 H Potomac School          7-10      -3    -6    +      3.82
   420 A Flint Hill School       8- 9      -1     0          -0.11
   422 H Bullis School           7-13      -6     1    ---   -7.02
   427 A National Cathedral, DC  9- 8       1     0           0.05
   429 H Holton-Arms School      9- 8       1     0           1.29
   504 H Georgetown Visitation   7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   505 N National Cathedral, DC  9- 8  o    1     1          -0.12
   508 N Potomac School          8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Bullis School           7-13      -6     1    ---   -7.02
   319 A Paul VI Catholic, VA   13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   318 A Sidwell Friends         9- 8       1     4    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Episcopal, VA          11-12  o   -1    -9    +++    8.80
   316 H Holy Child, MD         11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.21
   409 H Mason, OH               7- 8      -1    -6    ++         
   504 H Georgetown Visitation   7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   508 N Potomac School          8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.99
   415 H Potomac School          7-10      -3    -6    +      3.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.29 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.75 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/