Region = NY                     
   Nickname = Y Bayhawks             Coach  =   Michele O'Brien       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.2060242    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A St. Francis Prep, NY   NY A          ( 0- 6, 63.7)    15-10   
 412 H St. John the Baptist   NY            ( 7-10, 84.0)     8-20   
 422 H Mary Louis Academy     NY            ( 0- 6, 61.4)    11- 9   
 427 H Portledge School       NY    Indep   (16- 2, 98.8)    11-19   
 428 H St. Mary's, NY         NY            ( 8- 3, 79.0)    15-19   
 501 H Our Lady of Mercy, NYC NY            (10- 6, 86.0)    13-16   
 502 H Long Island Lutheran   NY    Indep   ( 9- 5, 90.8)     8-13   
 504 A Mary Louis Academy     NY            ( 0- 6, 61.4)    17-10   
 505 A Our Lady of Mercy, NYC NY            (10- 6, 86.0)    12-18   
 507 H Holy Trinity, NY       NY            ( 5-13, 76.8)    12-18   
 516 A St. Mary's, NY         NY            ( 8- 3, 79.0)    12-16   
 517 H St. Francis Prep, NY   NY A          ( 0- 6, 63.7)    14- 8   
 519 H St. Francis Prep, NY   NY A          ( 0- 6, 63.7)    14-12   
 521 A St. Mary's, NY         NY            ( 8- 3, 79.0)    13-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A St. Francis Prep, NY   15-10       5     8    -     -3.75
   412 H St. John the Baptist    8-20     -12   -11           0.00
   422 H Mary Louis Academy     11- 9       2    11    ---   -8.00
   427 H Portledge School       11-19      -8   -25          n/a  
   428 H St. Mary's, NY         15-19      -4    -6    +      2.56
   501 H Our Lady of Mercy, NYC 13-16      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   502 H Long Island Lutheran    8-13      -5   -17          n/a  
   504 A Mary Louis Academy     17-10       7    10    -     -3.00
   505 A Our Lady of Mercy, NYC 12-18      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   507 H Holy Trinity, NY       12-18      -6    -4          -1.63
   516 A St. Mary's, NY         12-16      -4    -6    +      2.58
   517 H St. Francis Prep, NY   14- 8       6     8    -     -2.77
   519 H St. Francis Prep, NY   14-12       2     8    ---   -6.77
   521 A St. Mary's, NY         13-17      -4    -6    +      2.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Mary Louis Academy     11- 9       2    11    ---   -8.00
   519 H St. Francis Prep, NY   14-12       2     8    ---   -6.77
   325 A St. Francis Prep, NY   15-10       5     8    -     -3.75
   504 A Mary Louis Academy     17-10       7    10    -     -3.00
   517 H St. Francis Prep, NY   14- 8       6     8    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Our Lady of Mercy, NYC 13-16      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   502 H Long Island Lutheran    8-13      -5   -17    ++         
   505 A Our Lady of Mercy, NYC 12-18      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   427 H Portledge School       11-19      -8   -25    +          
   428 H St. Mary's, NY         15-19      -4    -6    +      2.56
   516 A St. Mary's, NY         12-16      -4    -6    +      2.58
   521 A St. Mary's, NY         13-17      -4    -6    +      2.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.43 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.70 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/