Region = MA    Cen D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Karla Andre           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3756104    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (20- 2, 93.9)     9-14   
 406 A Wachusett              MA    Cen D1  ( 9-10, 76.2)    25- 6   
 410 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    Cen D1  ( 6- 8, 69.1)    18- 5   
 413 H Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (15- 7, 86.6)    12- 7   
 415 H Marlborough, MA        MA    Cen D1  ( 3-13, 67.0)    15- 3   
 420 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 77.3)    15- 4   
 421 A Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  (11- 8, 77.2)    21- 8   
 427 A North Middlesex        MA    Cen D1  (10-10, 77.6)    16- 7   
 429 H Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  (11- 8, 77.2)    18- 5   
 504 H Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (20- 2, 93.9)     8-15   
 506 H Wachusett              MA    Cen D1  ( 9-10, 76.2)    18- 9   
 511 A Franklin, MA           MA    So D1   (19- 2, 90.9)     5-11   
 513 A Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (15- 7, 86.6)     7-10   
 514 A Nipmuc                 MA    Cen D1  (10- 8, 73.1)    20- 7   
 518 A Marlborough, MA        MA    Cen D1  ( 3-13, 67.0)    17- 3   
 519 A Winchester             MA    No D2   (19- 3, 92.8)     7-15   
 520 H North Middlesex        MA    Cen D1  (10-10, 77.6)    19- 7   
 522 H Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (12- 8, 75.3)    15- 4   
 607 H Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  (11- 8, 77.2)    13- 7   
 609 H Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (15- 7, 86.6)    17-10   
 611 N Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (20- 2, 93.9)    11-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Westborough             9-14      -5    -7    +      2.01
   406 A Wachusett              25- 6      19    10           0.00
   410 H Grafton Memorial, MA   18- 5      13    19           0.00
   413 H Algonquin              12- 7       5     2    +      2.97
   415 H Marlborough, MA        15- 3      12    21           0.00
   420 H Corcoran-Fowler        15- 4      11    11          n/a  
   421 A Nashoba Regional       21- 8      13     9           0.32
   427 A North Middlesex        16- 7       9     9          -0.31
   429 H Nashoba Regional       18- 5      13    11           0.00
   504 H Westborough             8-15      -7    -5          -1.67
   506 H Wachusett              18- 9       9    12          -1.00
   511 A Franklin, MA            5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.05
   513 A Algonquin               7-10      -3     0    -     -3.35
   514 A Nipmuc                 20- 7      13    13           0.00
   518 A Marlborough, MA        17- 3      14    19           0.00
   519 A Winchester              7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.15
   520 H North Middlesex        19- 7      12    10           0.00
   522 H Tantasqua              15- 4      11    13           0.00
   607 H Nashoba Regional       13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   609 H Algonquin              17-10       7     2    ++     4.97
   611 N Westborough            11-19      -8    -6          -1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   607 H Nashoba Regional       13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   511 A Franklin, MA            5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.05
   513 A Algonquin               7-10      -3     0    -     -3.35
   519 A Winchester              7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   609 H Algonquin              17-10       7     2    ++     4.97
   401 A Westborough             9-14      -5    -7    +      2.01
   413 H Algonquin              12- 7       5     2    +      2.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.77 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.65 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   130
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/