Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Elizabeth Sellmayer   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.4743118    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H Inst. of Notre Dame    MD    IAAM B  (10- 7, 91.3)    18-13   
 319 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 91.1)     1-17   
 324 H McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (20- 0, 99.9)     3-21   
 326 A Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (14- 7, 89.1)     3-19   
 331 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 6- 9, 83.2)     7-16   
 407 H Mercy, MD              MD    IAAM A  ( 2-15, 74.0)    16-14   
 409 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (18- 4, 93.5)     8-20   
 410 H Cape Henlopen          DE    Henlop  (18- 0, 99.9)    12-13   
 412 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (18- 4, 91.9)     7-14   
 414 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 9, 87.2)     2-19   
 416 A Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 6-12, 81.4)    10-12   
 419 H Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   (12- 7, 86.9)     8-15   
 421 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (13- 6, 88.6)     8-15   
 423 A Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 2-15, 76.7)    10-20   
 426 A Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 6, 83.9)    10- 8   
 428 H Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 7- 9, 85.6)    11-22   
 430 A Severn School          MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 87.0)     8-20   
 505 A Park School            MD    IAAM B  (17- 1, 99.9)    12-13   
 507 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 91.1)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Inst. of Notre Dame    18-13       5   -17          n/a  
   319 A Bryn Mawr SG            1-17     -16   -19           0.00
   324 H McDonogh School         3-21     -18   -26           0.00
   326 A Roland Park Country     3-19     -16   -17           0.00
   331 A Garrison Forest         7-16      -9   -11           1.00
   407 H Mercy, MD              16-14       2     0    +      2.09
   409 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     8-20     -12   -21           0.00
   410 H Cape Henlopen          12-13      -1   -26          n/a  
   412 H John Carroll, MD        7-14      -7   -18    +      3.00
   414 H St. Paul's SG, MD       2-19     -17   -13           0.00
   416 A Mount de Sales         10-12      -2    -9    +++    7.64
   419 H Patterson Mill          8-15      -7   -13          n/a  
   421 H St. Mary's, MD          8-15      -7   -14    +      3.00
   423 A Archbishop Spalding    10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.05
   426 A Catonsville            10- 8       2   -12          n/a  
   428 H Maryvale Prep          11-22     -11   -11           0.00
   430 A Severn School           8-20     -12   -15           0.00
   505 A Park School            12-13      -1   -27          n/a  
   507 A Bryn Mawr SG            6-17     -11   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Archbishop Spalding    10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Inst. of Notre Dame    18-13       5   -17    +++        
   410 H Cape Henlopen          12-13      -1   -26    +++        
   416 A Mount de Sales         10-12      -2    -9    +++    7.64
   426 A Catonsville            10- 8       2   -12    +++        
   505 A Park School            12-13      -1   -27    +++        
   407 H Mercy, MD              16-14       2     0    +      2.09
   412 H John Carroll, MD        7-14      -7   -18    +      3.00
   419 H Patterson Mill          8-15      -7   -13    +          
   421 H St. Mary's, MD          8-15      -7   -14    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.82 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.60 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/