Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Erin Lloyd            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8289490    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (14- 4, 85.7)    10-19   
 414 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-11, 73.1)    12- 8   
 417 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-13, 65.3)    17- 7   
 419 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   (10- 5, 80.7)    13-10   
 421 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (14- 4, 87.1)    13-15   
 426 H Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-11, 70.2)    20- 5   
 428 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (14- 4, 85.7)    16-20   
 430 A Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-11, 73.1)    10-11   
 503 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-13, 65.3)    19-14  o
 505 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   (10- 5, 80.7)    10-11   
 507 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (14- 4, 87.1)     9-12   
 510 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 73.9)    18- 8   
 512 A Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-11, 70.2)    21-12   
 513 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 72.7)    20- 8   
 517 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-10, 70.0)    19- 5   
 519 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (14- 4, 85.7)    15-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Glens Falls            10-19      -9    -4    --    -4.35
   414 H Scotia-Glenville       12- 8       4     8    --    -4.48
   417 A Johnstown              17- 7      10    15           0.00
   419 H South Glens Falls      13-10       3     0    +      2.09
   421 H Queensbury             13-15      -2    -5    +      3.46
   426 H Greenwich, NY          20- 5      15    11           0.00
   428 H Glens Falls            16-20      -4    -4           0.11
   430 A Scotia-Glenville       10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.95
   503 H Johnstown              19-14  o    5    16    --    -5.00
   505 A South Glens Falls      10-11      -1     0          -1.38
   507 A Queensbury              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.99
   510 H Schenectady            18- 8      10     7    +      2.28
   512 A Greenwich, NY          21-12       9    10          -1.00
   513 A Emma Willard           20- 8      12     8           1.63
   517 H Holy Names Acad, NY    19- 5      14    11           0.00
   519 A Glens Falls            15-19      -4    -4           0.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Scotia-Glenville       10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.95
   412 A Glens Falls            10-19      -9    -4    --    -4.35
   414 H Scotia-Glenville       12- 8       4     8    --    -4.48
   503 H Johnstown              19-14  o    5    16    --    -5.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H South Glens Falls      13-10       3     0    +      2.09
   421 H Queensbury             13-15      -2    -5    +      3.46
   507 A Queensbury              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.99
   510 H Schenectady            18- 8      10     7    +      2.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.34 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.39 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/