Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mary Ozarowski        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.3025055    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 72.7)     7-16   
 414 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 1- 8, 62.7)    20- 2   
 416 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (18- 1, 94.0)     3-17   
 419 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 3-13, 74.5)    11-14   
 421 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-10, 70.0)    15-17   
 426 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 1- 8, 62.7)    15- 8   
 427 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 72.7)    16-13   
 429 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (18- 1, 94.0)     9-21   
 430 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   (10- 5, 80.7)    15-16   
 503 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-10, 70.0)    11- 8   
 505 A Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-11, 73.1)    16- 7   
 508 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (14- 4, 87.1)     7-20   
 510 A Schuylerville          NY C  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 81.3)     8-18   
 512 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-13, 65.3)    12- 9   
 513 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 88.3)     8-20   
 518 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (14- 3, 95.6)     5-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Emma Willard            7-16      -9     1    ---  -10.45
   414 A Cohoes                 20- 2      18    10           0.00
   416 H Albany Academy SG       3-17     -14   -19           0.00
   419 A Ballston Spa           11-14      -3     0    -     -2.12
   421 A Holy Names Acad, NY    15-17      -2     3    --    -5.66
   426 H Cohoes                 15- 8       7    11    -     -3.00
   427 A Emma Willard           16-13       3     0    +      2.09
   429 A Albany Academy SG       9-21     -12   -20           0.00
   430 H South Glens Falls      15-16      -1    -6    ++     5.54
   503 H Holy Names Acad, NY    11- 8       3     4          -1.20
   505 A Scotia-Glenville       16- 7       9     0    +++    8.51
   508 A Queensbury              7-20     -13   -13           0.00
   510 A Schuylerville           8-18     -10    -7    -     -2.28
   512 A Johnstown              12- 9       3     8    --    -5.35
   513 H Colonie                 8-20     -12   -14           0.00
   518 A Shaker                  5-23     -18   -22           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Emma Willard            7-16      -9     1    ---  -10.45
   421 A Holy Names Acad, NY    15-17      -2     3    --    -5.66
   512 A Johnstown              12- 9       3     8    --    -5.35
   419 A Ballston Spa           11-14      -3     0    -     -2.12
   426 H Cohoes                 15- 8       7    11    -     -3.00
   510 A Schuylerville           8-18     -10    -7    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Scotia-Glenville       16- 7       9     0    +++    8.51
   430 H South Glens Falls      15-16      -1    -6    ++     5.54
   427 A Emma Willard           16-13       3     0    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.89 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.33 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0
/