Region = CT    Div 2            
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.7049255    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Fairfield Ludlowe      CT    Div 2   (16- 5, 92.7)     6-16   
 409 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT    Div 2   (16- 5, 92.7)    12-11   
 412 H Weston, CT             CT    Div 2   ( 8- 9, 81.1)    16-12   
 416 H Trumbull               CT    Div 2   (12- 6, 88.3)     5-10   
 422 H Fairfield Warde        CT    Div 1   ( 5-11, 82.6)     7-12   
 424 A Stamford               CT            ( 0-14, 71.9)    17- 7   
 427 H St. Joseph, CT         CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 75.1)    15-11   
 430 A Greenwich HS, CT       CT    Div 1   (16- 4, 98.1)     3-19   
 503 A Joel Barlow            CT    Div 1   ( 7-11, 80.2)    14- 8   
 504 A Darien                 CT    Div 1   (15- 5, 99.7)     6-17   
 506 H Brien McMahon          CT    Div 1   ( 5-10, 82.0)    10-10 2o
 510 A New Canaan             CT    Div 1   (19- 3, 99.9)     1-15   
 513 A Ridgefield             CT    Div 2   ( 7-10, 83.1)     9-10   
 515 H Wilton                 CT    Div 1   (13- 6, 96.5)     4-17   
 518 H Staples                CT    Div 2   (15- 7, 93.1)     6-16   
 519 A St. Joseph, CT         CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 75.1)    16-10   
 601 A New Milford            CT    Div 2   (12- 5, 86.8)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Fairfield Ludlowe       6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   409 H Fairfield Ludlowe      12-11       1    -9    +++   10.98
   412 H Weston, CT             16-12       4     1    +      2.30
   416 H Trumbull                5-10      -5    -5           0.58
   422 H Fairfield Warde         7-12      -5     0    --    -5.16
   424 A Stamford               17- 7      10     9           0.92
   427 H St. Joseph, CT         15-11       4     7    -     -3.68
   430 A Greenwich HS, CT        3-19     -16   -17           0.00
   503 A Joel Barlow            14- 8       6     0    ++     5.30
   504 A Darien                  6-17     -11   -18           0.00
   506 H Brien McMahon          10-10 2o    0     0          -0.72
   510 A New Canaan              1-15     -14   -18           0.00
   513 A Ridgefield              9-10      -1    -2           1.17
   515 H Wilton                  4-17     -13   -13           0.00
   518 H Staples                 6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   519 A St. Joseph, CT         16-10       6     5           0.14
   601 A New Milford             4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Fairfield Warde         7-12      -5     0    --    -5.16
   601 A New Milford             4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.18
   427 H St. Joseph, CT         15-11       4     7    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Fairfield Ludlowe      12-11       1    -9    +++   10.98
   503 A Joel Barlow            14- 8       6     0    ++     5.30
   412 H Weston, CT             16-12       4     1    +      2.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.85 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.94 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/