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Region = CT Div 2 Nickname = T Bears Coach = Al MorgenthalerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.7049255 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Fairfield Ludlowe CT Div 2 (16- 5, 92.7) 6-16 409 H Fairfield Ludlowe CT Div 2 (16- 5, 92.7) 12-11 412 H Weston, CT CT Div 2 ( 8- 9, 81.1) 16-12 416 H Trumbull CT Div 2 (12- 6, 88.3) 5-10 422 H Fairfield Warde CT Div 1 ( 5-11, 82.6) 7-12 424 A Stamford CT ( 0-14, 71.9) 17- 7 427 H St. Joseph, CT CT Div 2 ( 1-15, 75.1) 15-11 430 A Greenwich HS, CT CT Div 1 (16- 4, 98.1) 3-19 503 A Joel Barlow CT Div 1 ( 7-11, 80.2) 14- 8 504 A Darien CT Div 1 (15- 5, 99.7) 6-17 506 H Brien McMahon CT Div 1 ( 5-10, 82.0) 10-10 2o 510 A New Canaan CT Div 1 (19- 3, 99.9) 1-15 513 A Ridgefield CT Div 2 ( 7-10, 83.1) 9-10 515 H Wilton CT Div 1 (13- 6, 96.5) 4-17 518 H Staples CT Div 2 (15- 7, 93.1) 6-16 519 A St. Joseph, CT CT Div 2 ( 1-15, 75.1) 16-10 601 A New Milford CT Div 2 (12- 5, 86.8) 4-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Fairfield Ludlowe 6-16 -10 -11 0.00 409 H Fairfield Ludlowe 12-11 1 -9 +++ 10.98 412 H Weston, CT 16-12 4 1 + 2.30 416 H Trumbull 5-10 -5 -5 0.58 422 H Fairfield Warde 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.16 424 A Stamford 17- 7 10 9 0.92 427 H St. Joseph, CT 15-11 4 7 - -3.68 430 A Greenwich HS, CT 3-19 -16 -17 0.00 503 A Joel Barlow 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.30 504 A Darien 6-17 -11 -18 0.00 506 H Brien McMahon 10-10 2o 0 0 -0.72 510 A New Canaan 1-15 -14 -18 0.00 513 A Ridgefield 9-10 -1 -2 1.17 515 H Wilton 4-17 -13 -13 0.00 518 H Staples 6-16 -10 -10 0.00 519 A St. Joseph, CT 16-10 6 5 0.14 601 A New Milford 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.18UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Fairfield Warde 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.16 601 A New Milford 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.18 427 H St. Joseph, CT 15-11 4 7 - -3.68OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Fairfield Ludlowe 12-11 1 -9 +++ 10.98 503 A Joel Barlow 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.30 412 H Weston, CT 16-12 4 1 + 2.30/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.85 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 71.94 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 39 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 49 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 26 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7