Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lumberjacks          Coach  =   Brandon Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.5314331    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 88.1)     2-14   
 405 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 4- 8, 77.0)    12-14   
 408 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 97.9)     4-18   
 412 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 93.5)     2-18   
 414 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 84.1)   
 415 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 74.2)     8- 2   
 427 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 88.1)     3-12   
 429 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 80.9)     7- 8   
 503 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 97.9)     3-16   
 504 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 4- 8, 77.0)     6- 9   
 505 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 93.5)     3-18   
 507 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 84.1)     2-12   
 508 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 76.9)     7-11   
 510 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 80.9)     3-14   
 512 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 8, 88.9)     6-10   
 513 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H West Seneca West        2-14     -12   -13           0.00
   405 H Eden                   12-14      -2    -2           0.16
   408 H Williamsville North     4-18     -14   -23           0.00
   412 A Hamburg                 2-18     -16   -20           0.00
   415 A Niagara Falls           8- 2       6    -1    +++    7.21
   427 A West Seneca West        3-12      -9   -15           1.00
   429 H Niagara-Wheatfield      7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.07
   503 A Williamsville North     3-16     -13   -24           0.00
   504 A Eden                    6- 9      -3    -4           1.01
   505 H Hamburg                 3-18     -15   -18           0.00
   507 A Sweet Home              2-12     -10   -11           0.00
   508 H Grand Island            7-11      -4    -2          -1.92
   510 A Niagara-Wheatfield      3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.08
   512 A East Aurora             6-10      -4   -15    +++    6.00
   513 H Williamsville South     5-13      -8    -6          -1.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Niagara-Wheatfield      3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Niagara Falls           8- 2       6    -1    +++    7.21
   512 A East Aurora             6-10      -4   -15    +++    6.00
   429 H Niagara-Wheatfield      7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.92 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.34 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.31 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/