Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Karen Hackett         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4677505    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 6- 9, 75.9)    15-10   
 318 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  ( 4-11, 80.5)    11- 9   
 322 H James River HS         VA    NW AA   ( 5- 7, 75.0)    16- 3   
 326 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 75.8)     8- 4   
 327 H E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 8- 4, 78.5)    12- 6   
 331 A Eastern View           VA    Indep   ( 6- 8, 71.4)    21- 1   
 409 H Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 6- 9, 75.9)    16- 7   
 413 A Tandem Friends School  VA    DAC     ( 0- 5, 63.5)    25- 3   
 416 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     5-14   
 421 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA    LIS     (17- 4, 98.5)     5-17   
 423 H Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (11- 5, 79.7)    20- 3   
 427 A E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 8- 4, 78.5)    12- 7   
 503 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  ( 4-11, 80.5)    15-16   
 505 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 75.8)    13-10   
 518 H Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 6- 9, 75.9)    20- 6   
 521 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     5-14   
 524 A George Mason           VA    NW AA   (15- 2, 86.9)    14-12   
 526 A Brentsville District   VA    NW AA   (11- 2, 80.7)    21-12   
 528 N Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     7-15   
 605 A W.T. Woodson           VA    Pat     (16- 5, 93.4)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Rockbridge County      15-10       5    10    --    -5.00
   318 H Albemarle              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.80
   322 H James River HS         16- 3      13    13           0.00
   326 A Charlottesville         8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   327 H E.C. Glass             12- 6       6     9    -     -3.79
   331 A Eastern View           21- 1      20    15           0.00
   409 H Rockbridge County      16- 7       9    12          -1.00
   413 A Tandem Friends School  25- 3      22    23           0.00
   416 A Western Albemarle       5-14      -9   -11           1.00
   421 H St. Anne's-Belfield     5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   423 H Salem, VA              20- 3      17     8           1.38
   427 A E.C. Glass             12- 7       5     7    -     -2.92
   503 A Albemarle              15-16      -1     5    ---   -6.94
   505 H Charlottesville        13-10       3    12    ---   -7.00
   518 H Rockbridge County      20- 6      14    12           0.00
   521 H Western Albemarle       5-14      -9    -9           0.80
   524 A George Mason           14-12       2     0    +      2.46
   526 A Brentsville District   21-12       9     5    +      3.21
   528 N Western Albemarle       7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   605 A W.T. Woodson            6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Charlottesville         8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   503 A Albemarle              15-16      -1     5    ---   -6.94
   505 H Charlottesville        13-10       3    12    ---   -7.00
   316 A Rockbridge County      15-10       5    10    --    -5.00
   318 H Albemarle              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.80
   327 H E.C. Glass             12- 6       6     9    -     -3.79
   427 A E.C. Glass             12- 7       5     7    -     -2.92
   605 A W.T. Woodson            6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 A George Mason           14-12       2     0    +      2.46
   526 A Brentsville District   21-12       9     5    +      3.21
   528 N Western Albemarle       7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.40 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.63 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/