Region = NJ    Group 2          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Jason Lerman          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.6358414    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Point Pleasant Boro    NJ    Group 2 ( 1-11, 62.8)    17- 3   
 408 A Neptune                NJ    Group 2 ( 8-11, 69.0)    10-12   
 410 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Group 2 (15- 3, 83.6)     5-16   
 412 H Long Branch            NJ    Group 2 ( 1-13, 59.3)    23-10   
 414 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Group 2 ( 7- 9, 69.3)    14- 9   
 416 H Wall Township          NJ    Group 3 (11- 5, 76.7)     6-12   
 419 A Manalapan              NJ    Group 4 ( 9- 8, 74.0)    11-15   
 421 H Neptune                NJ    Group 2 ( 8-11, 69.0)    17- 6   
 424 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Group 2 (15- 3, 83.6)     6-14   
 426 H Point Pleasant Boro    NJ    Group 2 ( 1-11, 62.8)    13- 7   
 428 A Long Branch            NJ    Group 2 ( 1-13, 59.3)    22-11   
 430 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Group 2 ( 7- 9, 69.3)    11- 7   
 503 A Wall Township          NJ    Group 3 (11- 5, 76.7)    12-15   
 506 A Holmdel                NJ    Group 2 ( 1-12, 66.5)    18- 6   
 507 H Marlboro, NJ           NJ    Group 4 ( 2-14, 64.5)    16- 9   
 510 A Manchester Township    NJ    Group 2 ( 0-11, 57.0)    21- 8   
 511 H Howell                 NJ    Group 4 ( 7-11, 70.5)    14-10   
 514 H Barnegat               NJ    Group 2 (15- 6, 74.2)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Point Pleasant Boro    17- 3      14    10           0.00
   408 A Neptune                10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.62
   410 H Red Bank Catholic       5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.78
   412 H Long Branch            23-10      13    17           0.00
   414 A Red Bank Regional      14- 9       5     4           0.70
   416 H Wall Township           6-12      -6     0    --    -5.69
   419 A Manalapan              11-15      -4     0    -     -3.60
   421 H Neptune                17- 6      11     7    +      2.63
   424 A Red Bank Catholic       6-14      -8    -9           1.97
   426 H Point Pleasant Boro    13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   428 A Long Branch            22-11      11    14           0.00
   430 H Red Bank Regional      11- 7       4     7    -     -3.04
   503 A Wall Township          12-15      -3    -3           0.06
   506 A Holmdel                18- 6      12     7    +      2.90
   507 H Marlboro, NJ           16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   510 A Manchester Township    21- 8      13    16           0.00
   511 H Howell                 14-10       4     5          -1.84
   514 H Barnegat                7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Neptune                10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.62
   514 H Barnegat                7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.17
   416 H Wall Township           6-12      -6     0    --    -5.69
   426 H Point Pleasant Boro    13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   410 H Red Bank Catholic       5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.78
   419 A Manalapan              11-15      -4     0    -     -3.60
   430 H Red Bank Regional      11- 7       4     7    -     -3.04
   507 H Marlboro, NJ           16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Neptune                17- 6      11     7    +      2.63
   506 A Holmdel                18- 6      12     7    +      2.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.98 Local Power Rank...........    96
 Local SOS Rating......... 40.93 Local SOS Rank.............   172
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   102
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    87
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    79
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/