Region = NJ    Group 4          
   Nickname = J Cougars              Coach  =   T. Trockenbrod        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1249924    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Pingry School          NJ    Group 1 (18- 4, 89.1)     7-11   
 403 A Voorhees               NJ    Group 2 ( 6-13, 75.3)    11- 6   
 405 H South Plainfield       NJ    Group 2 ( 2-14, 62.1)    17- 2   
 408 H Watchung Hills         NJ    Group 4 ( 2-13, 69.9)    18- 5   
 410 A Phillipsburg           NJ    Group 3 ( 1-14, 64.9)    18- 3   
 412 A Hillsborough, NJ       NJ    Group 4 (11- 8, 86.8)     2-10   
 414 H North Hunterdon        NJ    Group 4 ( 4-12, 76.1)    16-10   
 416 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Group 4 (21- 1, 95.7)     5-15   
 419 H Somerville             NJ    Group 2 (12- 7, 77.2)    18- 8   
 420 H Ridge, NJ              NJ    Group 4 ( 7-11, 82.2)    16-14   
 422 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Group 4 (14- 4, 89.0)     9-13   
 424 H Pingry School          NJ    Group 1 (18- 4, 89.1)    11-18   
 426 H Voorhees               NJ    Group 2 ( 6-13, 75.3)    15- 6   
 430 A South Brunswick        NJ    Group 4 (19- 2, 87.3)     9-16   
 501 A Watchung Hills         NJ    Group 4 ( 2-13, 69.9)    16- 4   
 504 H Phillipsburg           NJ    Group 3 ( 1-14, 64.9)    13- 2   
 506 H Mt. St. Mary SG        NJ    Group 1 ( 1-14, 62.1)    16- 1   
 508 A Bernards               NJ    Group 1 (17- 3, 86.9)    10- 9 2o
 510 A Pingry School          NJ    Group 1 (18- 4, 89.1)     7-12   
 514 H Westfield, NJ          NJ    Group 4 ( 9-10, 79.2)    12- 9   
 517 A Ridgewood              NJ    Group 4 (22- 1, 99.5)     4-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Pingry School           7-11      -4    -6    +      2.96
   403 A Voorhees               11- 6       5     6          -1.84
   405 H South Plainfield       17- 2      15    22           0.00
   408 H Watchung Hills         18- 5      13    15           0.00
   410 A Phillipsburg           18- 3      15    17           0.00
   412 A Hillsborough, NJ        2-10      -8    -4    -     -3.42
   414 H North Hunterdon        16-10       6     8    -     -2.82
   416 A Bridgewater-Raritan     5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   419 H Somerville             18- 8      10     7    +      2.32
   420 H Ridge, NJ              16-14       2     2          -0.73
   422 A Hunterdon Central       9-13      -4    -6    +      2.85
   424 H Pingry School          11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.78
   426 H Voorhees               15- 6       9     9          -0.59
   430 A South Brunswick         9-16      -7    -5          -1.89
   501 A Watchung Hills         16- 4      12    12           0.00
   504 H Phillipsburg           13- 2      11    20           0.00
   506 H Mt. St. Mary SG        16- 1      15    22           0.00
   508 A Bernards               10- 9 2o    1    -4    ++     5.77
   510 A Pingry School           7-12      -5    -6           1.96
   514 H Westfield, NJ          12- 9       3     5    -     -2.77
   517 A Ridgewood               4-21     -17   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Hillsborough, NJ        2-10      -8    -4    -     -3.42
   414 H North Hunterdon        16-10       6     8    -     -2.82
   424 H Pingry School          11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.78
   514 H Westfield, NJ          12- 9       3     5    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Bernards               10- 9 2o    1    -4    ++     5.77
   401 A Pingry School           7-11      -4    -6    +      2.96
   419 H Somerville             18- 8      10     7    +      2.32
   422 A Hunterdon Central       9-13      -4    -6    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.55 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.52 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    92
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    71
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/