Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3555984    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 75.2)    15- 6   
 408 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 3-14, 69.3)    14- 1   
 410 A Hingham                MA    So D1   (16- 6, 84.9)    13- 6   
 413 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 72.7)    12- 1   
 415 H Belchertown            MA    West D1 ( 2-15, 64.8)    13- 2   
 416 H Simsbury               CT    Div 1   (10- 6, 86.8)    11- 9   
 422 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 0-15, 61.2)    18- 3   
 422 H Hingham                MA    So D1   (16- 6, 84.9)    13-11   
 427 H Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 3, 94.2)     7-16   
 429 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1)    17- 5   
 507 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (15- 5, 87.7)    11-12   
 510 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (12-10, 78.1)    17- 7   
 512 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 (10- 7, 79.7)    20-14   
 514 A Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 3, 94.2)     9-14   
 519 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1)    13- 4   
 521 A Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (12- 8, 75.3)    17- 7   
 525 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (15- 5, 87.7)     9- 6   
 527 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 (10- 7, 79.7)    16- 2   
 603 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 75.2)    16- 6   
 608 N Agawam                 MA    West D1 (15- 5, 87.7)    12-11   
 613 N Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 3, 94.2)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Westfield HS, MA       15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   408 A West Springfield, MA   14- 1      13    18           0.00
   410 A Hingham                13- 6       7     3    +      3.97
   413 H Amherst-Pelham         12- 1      11    16           0.00
   415 H Belchertown            13- 2      11    24           0.00
   416 H Simsbury               11- 9       2     2          n/a  
   422 A Cathedral, MA          18- 3      15    26           0.00
   422 H Hingham                13-11       2     4    -     -2.71
   427 H Longmeadow              7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.46
   429 A Northampton            17- 5      12    12           0.00
   507 H Agawam                 11-12      -1     1    -     -2.97
   510 H South Hadley           17- 7      10    11           0.00
   512 A East Longmeadow        20-14       6     8    -     -2.25
   514 A Longmeadow              9-14      -5    -6           1.22
   519 H Northampton            13- 4       9    14          -1.00
   521 A Tantasqua              17- 7      10    12           0.00
   525 A Agawam                  9- 6       3     0    +      2.70
   527 H East Longmeadow        16- 2      14     9           0.07
   603 H Westfield HS, MA       16- 6      10    14           0.00
   608 N Agawam                 12-11       1     1          -0.14
   613 N Longmeadow              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Longmeadow              7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.46
   422 H Hingham                13-11       2     4    -     -2.71
   507 H Agawam                 11-12      -1     1    -     -2.97
   512 A East Longmeadow        20-14       6     8    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Hingham                13- 6       7     3    +      3.97
   525 A Agawam                  9- 6       3     0    +      2.70
   613 N Longmeadow              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.80 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.93 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/