Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9922409    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 0-15, 61.2)    10- 0   
 406 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 (12-10, 78.1)    17- 0   
 408 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 75.2)    21- 5   
 413 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 3-14, 69.3)    15- 0   
 415 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 72.7)    16- 0   
 422 H Belchertown            MA    West D1 ( 2-15, 64.8)    17- 1   
 424 H Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (17- 0, 99.9)     7- 9   
 427 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 4, 88.8)    16- 7   
 501 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 (10- 7, 79.7)    16- 1   
 504 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (15- 5, 87.7)    18- 5   
 506 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (16- 7, 88.1)    15- 7   
 507 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1)    19- 4   
 508 H Deerfield Academy, MA  NE            ( 8- 7, 87.4)    16-14   
 512 H Hotchkiss School       NE            (10- 4, 94.2)    14-11   
 514 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 4, 88.8)    14- 9   
 515 A Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (23- 1, 99.9)     5-17   
 519 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 (10- 7, 79.7)    20- 8   
 521 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (15- 5, 87.7)    18- 6   
 522 H Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (20- 2, 93.9)     8- 7   
 525 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1)    14- 7   
 608 N South Hadley           MA    West D1 (12-10, 78.1)    19- 5   
 613 N Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 4, 88.8)    12- 9   
 616 N Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (20- 2, 93.9)    16-14   
 619 N Framingham             MA    No D1   (24- 1, 96.7)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Cathedral, MA          10- 0      10    32           0.00
   406 A South Hadley           17- 0      17    15           0.00
   408 A Westfield HS, MA       21- 5      16    18           0.00
   413 H West Springfield, MA   15- 0      15    25           0.00
   415 A Amherst-Pelham         16- 0      16    20           0.00
   422 H Belchertown            17- 1      16    30           0.00
   424 H Loomis Chaffee School   7- 9      -2    -5          n/a  
   427 A Minnechaug             16- 7       9     4    ++     4.46
   501 H East Longmeadow        16- 1      15    15           0.00
   504 A Agawam                 18- 5      13     5    ++     4.32
   506 H Andover, MA            15- 7       8     6           1.04
   507 H Northampton            19- 4      15    19           0.00
   508 H Deerfield Academy, MA  16-14       2     7          n/a  
   512 H Hotchkiss School       14-11       3     0          n/a  
   514 H Minnechaug             14- 9       5     6          -1.22
   515 A Westwood, MA            5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.44
   519 A East Longmeadow        20- 8      12    13           0.00
   521 H Agawam                 18- 6      12     7    +      2.65
   522 H Westborough             8- 7       1     1          -0.08
   525 A Northampton            14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   608 N South Hadley           19- 5      14    16           0.00
   613 N Minnechaug             12- 9       3     5    -     -2.38
   616 N Westborough            16-14       2     0           1.76
   619 N Framingham              7- 8      -1    -2           1.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Deerfield Academy, MA  16-14       2     7    --         
   515 A Westwood, MA            5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.44
   525 A Northampton            14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   613 N Minnechaug             12- 9       3     5    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Minnechaug             16- 7       9     4    ++     4.46
   504 A Agawam                 18- 5      13     5    ++     4.32
   424 H Loomis Chaffee School   7- 9      -2    -5    +          
   512 H Hotchkiss School       14-11       3     0    +          
   521 H Agawam                 18- 6      12     7    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.18 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.65 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 21- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/