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Region = MA West D1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Steve DudeckGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.9922409 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Cathedral, MA MA West D1 ( 0-15, 61.2) 10- 0 406 A South Hadley MA West D1 (12-10, 78.1) 17- 0 408 A Westfield HS, MA MA West D1 ( 6- 9, 75.2) 21- 5 413 H West Springfield, MA MA West D1 ( 3-14, 69.3) 15- 0 415 A Amherst-Pelham MA West D1 ( 6- 9, 72.7) 16- 0 422 H Belchertown MA West D1 ( 2-15, 64.8) 17- 1 424 H Loomis Chaffee School NE (17- 0, 99.9) 7- 9 427 A Minnechaug MA West D1 (17- 4, 88.8) 16- 7 501 H East Longmeadow MA West D1 (10- 7, 79.7) 16- 1 504 A Agawam MA West D1 (15- 5, 87.7) 18- 5 506 H Andover, MA MA No D1 (16- 7, 88.1) 15- 7 507 H Northampton MA West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1) 19- 4 508 H Deerfield Academy, MA NE ( 8- 7, 87.4) 16-14 512 H Hotchkiss School NE (10- 4, 94.2) 14-11 514 H Minnechaug MA West D1 (17- 4, 88.8) 14- 9 515 A Westwood, MA MA So D1 (23- 1, 99.9) 5-17 519 A East Longmeadow MA West D1 (10- 7, 79.7) 20- 8 521 H Agawam MA West D1 (15- 5, 87.7) 18- 6 522 H Westborough MA Cen D1 (20- 2, 93.9) 8- 7 525 A Northampton MA West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1) 14- 7 608 N South Hadley MA West D1 (12-10, 78.1) 19- 5 613 N Minnechaug MA West D1 (17- 4, 88.8) 12- 9 616 N Westborough MA Cen D1 (20- 2, 93.9) 16-14 619 N Framingham MA No D1 (24- 1, 96.7) 7- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Cathedral, MA 10- 0 10 32 0.00 406 A South Hadley 17- 0 17 15 0.00 408 A Westfield HS, MA 21- 5 16 18 0.00 413 H West Springfield, MA 15- 0 15 25 0.00 415 A Amherst-Pelham 16- 0 16 20 0.00 422 H Belchertown 17- 1 16 30 0.00 424 H Loomis Chaffee School 7- 9 -2 -5 n/a 427 A Minnechaug 16- 7 9 4 ++ 4.46 501 H East Longmeadow 16- 1 15 15 0.00 504 A Agawam 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.32 506 H Andover, MA 15- 7 8 6 1.04 507 H Northampton 19- 4 15 19 0.00 508 H Deerfield Academy, MA 16-14 2 7 n/a 512 H Hotchkiss School 14-11 3 0 n/a 514 H Minnechaug 14- 9 5 6 -1.22 515 A Westwood, MA 5-17 -12 -6 - -3.44 519 A East Longmeadow 20- 8 12 13 0.00 521 H Agawam 18- 6 12 7 + 2.65 522 H Westborough 8- 7 1 1 -0.08 525 A Northampton 14- 7 7 18 - -3.00 608 N South Hadley 19- 5 14 16 0.00 613 N Minnechaug 12- 9 3 5 - -2.38 616 N Westborough 16-14 2 0 1.76 619 N Framingham 7- 8 -1 -2 1.53UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Deerfield Academy, MA 16-14 2 7 -- 515 A Westwood, MA 5-17 -12 -6 - -3.44 525 A Northampton 14- 7 7 18 - -3.00 613 N Minnechaug 12- 9 3 5 - -2.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 A Minnechaug 16- 7 9 4 ++ 4.46 504 A Agawam 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.32 424 H Loomis Chaffee School 7- 9 -2 -5 + 512 H Hotchkiss School 14-11 3 0 + 521 H Agawam 18- 6 12 7 + 2.65/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.18 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 65.65 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.70 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 7.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 21- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3