Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Raiders              Coach  =   Courtney Wilhelm      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.0068970    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Brentsville District   VA    NW AA   (11- 2, 80.7)    17-19  o
 317 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    16-14   
 325 A Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 73.7)    19-16   
 408 H Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   ( 6- 6, 72.0)    14- 5   
 415 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 77.5)     9-12   
 416 H Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (14- 6, 92.4)     4-20   
 417 H Freedom-Woodbridge     VA    NW AAA  ( 0- 8, 53.7)    24- 4   
 419 A Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 61.1)    20- 7   
 424 H Potomac HS             VA    NW AAA  ( 4- 6, 66.9)    17- 4   
 428 H George Mason           VA    NW AA   (15- 2, 86.9)     7-10   
 429 A Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 74.1)    16-13   
 503 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    18-17  o
 506 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 86.3)     6-17   
 513 H Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   ( 6- 6, 72.0)    11- 6   
 517 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 86.3)    13-20   
 519 N Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 77.5)    14-13   
 524 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     6-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Brentsville District   17-19  o   -2    -3           1.77
   317 H Potomac Falls          16-14       2     7    --    -5.95
   325 A Heritage, VA           19-16       3     3          -0.22
   408 H Briar Woods            14- 5       9     6    +      2.20
   415 H Freedom-South Riding    9-12      -3     1    --    -4.32
   416 H Battlefield             4-20     -16   -13           0.00
   417 H Freedom-Woodbridge     24- 4      20    25           0.00
   419 A Park View              20- 7      13    15           0.00
   424 H Potomac HS             17- 4      13    11           0.00
   428 H George Mason            7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.15
   429 A Dominion               16-13       3     2           0.23
   503 A Potomac Falls          18-17  o    1     6    --    -5.09
   506 H Broad Run               6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.51
   513 H Briar Woods            11- 6       5     6          -1.80
   517 A Broad Run              13-20      -7    -9    +      2.35
   519 N Freedom-South Riding   14-13       1     0           0.61
   524 A Western Albemarle       6-22     -16   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Potomac Falls          16-14       2     7    --    -5.95
   415 H Freedom-South Riding    9-12      -3     1    --    -4.32
   503 A Potomac Falls          18-17  o    1     6    --    -5.09
   506 H Broad Run               6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H George Mason            7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.15
   408 H Briar Woods            14- 5       9     6    +      2.20
   517 A Broad Run              13-20      -7    -9    +      2.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.84 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.13 Local SOS Rank.............    61
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    49
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/