Region = NJ    Group 1          
   Nickname = J Colts                Coach  =   Katie Kelly           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2930756    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Boonton                NJ    Group 1 ( 0-14, 57.7)    14- 0   
 406 A Morris Catholic        NJ    Group 1 ( 9- 8, 79.4)    15-11   
 408 A Ridgewood              NJ    Group 4 (22- 1, 99.5)     6-19   
 410 H West Morris Central    NJ    Group 3 (15- 5, 88.7)    13-16 2o
 412 H St. Elizabeth Acad     NJ    Group 1 ( 6-11, 69.2)    16- 5   
 415 A Glen Ridge             NJ    Group 1 (19- 3, 92.1)     8-18   
 417 H Glen Rock              NJ    Group 1 (11- 6, 86.5)    10-13   
 420 A Morristown-Beard       NJ    Group 1 (11- 7, 80.2)     9- 4   
 422 A Immaculate Heart, NJ   NJ    Group 4 (14- 4, 91.9)     9-21   
 424 H Pequannock Township    NJ    Group 1 (10- 8, 76.9)    24-15   
 427 H Villa Walsh Academy    NJ    Group 1 (12- 7, 76.5)    19- 9   
 429 A Montclair HS           NJ    Group 4 ( 5-12, 76.9)    13-10   
 501 A Chatham                NJ    Group 2 (21- 4, 92.5)    10-12   
 501 H Ramapo                 NJ    Group 3 ( 8- 9, 82.9)   
 504 A Madison                NJ    Group 1 (12- 9, 88.0)     9-20   
 506 H Mountain Lakes         NJ    Group 1 (16- 5, 91.5)     5-20   
 508 A Northern Highlands     NJ    Group 3 ( 5-11, 74.0)   
 510 H Pequannock Township    NJ    Group 1 (10- 8, 76.9)    11-10   
 511 A Ramapo                 NJ    Group 3 ( 8- 9, 82.9)   
 515 H Pequannock Township    NJ    Group 1 (10- 8, 76.9)    16- 6   
 519 H Morristown-Beard       NJ    Group 1 (11- 7, 80.2)    16- 7   
 519 A Madison                NJ    Group 1 (12- 9, 88.0)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Boonton                14- 0      14    22           0.00
   406 A Morris Catholic        15-11       4     0    +      3.02
   408 A Ridgewood               6-19     -13   -19           0.00
   410 H West Morris Central    13-16 2o   -3    -5    +      2.53
   412 H St. Elizabeth Acad     16- 5      11    13           0.00
   415 A Glen Ridge              8-18     -10   -11           0.00
   417 H Glen Rock              10-13      -3    -3           0.34
   420 A Morristown-Beard        9- 4       5     0    ++     4.77
   422 A Immaculate Heart, NJ    9-21     -12   -11           0.00
   424 H Pequannock Township    24-15       9     6    +      2.80
   427 H Villa Walsh Academy    19- 9      10     6    +      3.34
   429 A Montclair HS           13-10       3     3          -0.53
   501 A Chatham                10-12      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   504 A Madison                 9-20     -11    -7    -     -2.36
   506 H Mountain Lakes          5-20     -15    -8          -1.67
   510 H Pequannock Township    11-10       1     6    --    -5.20
   515 H Pequannock Township    16- 6      10     6    +      3.80
   519 H Morristown-Beard       16- 7       9     2    +++    6.03
   519 A Madison                 7-16      -9    -7          -1.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Pequannock Township    11-10       1     6    --    -5.20
   504 A Madison                 9-20     -11    -7    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Chatham                10-12      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   519 H Morristown-Beard       16- 7       9     2    +++    6.03
   420 A Morristown-Beard        9- 4       5     0    ++     4.77
   406 A Morris Catholic        15-11       4     0    +      3.02
   410 H West Morris Central    13-16 2o   -3    -5    +      2.53
   424 H Pequannock Township    24-15       9     6    +      2.80
   427 H Villa Walsh Academy    19- 9      10     6    +      3.34
   515 H Pequannock Township    16- 6      10     6    +      3.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.76 Local Power Rank...........    52
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.56 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    66
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    65
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/