Region = MD IAAM A
Nickname = D Patriots Coach = K. Porchella
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GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.8208389
Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score
316 H Bel Air MD 3A-2A ( 8- 9, 81.2) 16- 7
317 H Good Counsel DC WCAC (18- 3, 99.9) 9-13
329 A St. Paul's SG, MD MD IAAM A ( 9- 9, 87.2) 16-12
331 A St. Mary's, MD MD IAAM A (13- 6, 88.6) 10- 7
407 H Mount de Sales MD IAAM A ( 6-12, 81.4) 16- 7
409 A Maryvale Prep MD IAAM A ( 7- 9, 85.6) 14-10
412 A Seton Keough MD IAAM A ( 3-16, 72.8) 14- 7
414 H Archbishop Spalding MD IAAM A ( 2-15, 76.7) 16- 7
416 A McDonogh School MD IAAM A (20- 0, 99.9) 6- 8
419 H North Harford MD 3A-2A (11- 7, 86.9) 17- 7
421 H Bryn Mawr SG MD IAAM A (13- 5, 91.1) 13-12
422 H Notre Dame Prep, MD MD IAAM A (18- 4, 93.5) 10-12 o
423 A Mercy, MD MD IAAM A ( 2-15, 74.0) 13- 9
426 H Severn School MD IAAM A (10- 8, 87.0) 11-10
428 H Roland Park Country MD IAAM A (14- 7, 89.1) 18-15
429 A Patterson Mill MD 2A-1A (12- 7, 86.9) 15-11
430 H Garrison Forest MD IAAM A ( 6- 9, 83.2) 13-11
503 H Fallston MD 3A-2A (11- 5, 89.6) 13- 9
504 N C. M. Wright MD 4A-3A (15- 5, 91.0) 9- 7
507 H Mercy, MD MD IAAM A ( 2-15, 74.0) 17- 5
510 H Roland Park Country MD IAAM A (14- 7, 89.1) 12-11
513 A Notre Dame Prep, MD MD IAAM A (18- 4, 93.5) 6- 8
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PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
316 H Bel Air 16- 7 9 11 n/a
317 H Good Counsel 9-13 -4 -7 n/a
329 A St. Paul's SG, MD 16-12 4 3 0.31
331 A St. Mary's, MD 10- 7 3 2 0.74
407 H Mount de Sales 16- 7 9 11 -1.00
409 A Maryvale Prep 14-10 4 5 -1.27
412 A Seton Keough 14- 7 7 18 - -3.00
414 H Archbishop Spalding 16- 7 9 16 -1.00
416 A McDonogh School 6- 8 -2 -9 +++ 7.03
419 H North Harford 17- 7 10 6 n/a
421 H Bryn Mawr SG 13-12 1 1 -0.89
422 H Notre Dame Prep, MD 10-12 o -2 0 -1.56
423 A Mercy, MD 13- 9 4 16 --- -6.00
426 H Severn School 11-10 1 5 -- -5.00
428 H Roland Park Country 18-15 3 3 -0.92
429 A Patterson Mill 15-11 4 4 n/a
430 H Garrison Forest 13-11 2 9 --- -7.79
503 H Fallston 13- 9 4 3 n/a
504 N C. M. Wright 9- 7 2 0 n/a
507 H Mercy, MD 17- 5 12 19 0.00
510 H Roland Park Country 12-11 1 3 - -2.92
513 A Notre Dame Prep, MD 6- 8 -2 -2 0.59
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
423 A Mercy, MD 13- 9 4 16 --- -6.00
430 H Garrison Forest 13-11 2 9 --- -7.79
426 H Severn School 11-10 1 5 -- -5.00
412 A Seton Keough 14- 7 7 18 - -3.00
510 H Roland Park Country 12-11 1 3 - -2.92
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OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 A McDonogh School 6- 8 -2 -9 +++ 7.03
317 H Good Counsel 9-13 -4 -7 +
419 H North Harford 17- 7 10 6 +
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Local Power Rating....... 91.94 Local Power Rank........... 3
Local SOS Rating......... 70.45 Local SOS Rank............. 11
Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 3
Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 6
Local Quality Win Rating.235.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3
LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3
Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.2
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.2
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.4
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7
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