Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Mark Dubel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2708130    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.1)     3- 9   
 405 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)     7-10   
 407 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.9)    10- 4   
 409 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)    10- 1   
 413 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 76.9)    15- 6   
 414 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 8, 88.9)     8- 6   
 417 N Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 76.1)    10- 7   
 420 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 7- 9, 70.5)     6- 9   
 427 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.6)     3- 9   
 428 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.1)     8-13   
 430 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)    12-11   
 504 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.9)    10- 7   
 506 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)     8- 6   
 507 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 8, 88.9)     8- 6   
 510 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 76.9)    15- 9   
 514 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 98.4)     4-11   
 520 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A West Seneca East        3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.11
   405 A Lake Shore              7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.83
   407 A Williamsville East     10- 4       6     4           1.82
   409 H Williamsville South    10- 1       9    10          -1.00
   413 A Grand Island           15- 6       9    13          -1.00
   414 H East Aurora             8- 6       2     3          -1.01
   417 N Geneva                 10- 7       3    14          n/a  
   420 A Hilton                  6- 9      -3    19          n/a  
   427 A Frontier                3- 9      -6    -7           1.55
   428 H West Seneca East        8-13      -5    -7    +      2.26
   430 H Lake Shore             12-11       1    -5    +++    6.97
   504 H Williamsville East     10- 7       3     6    -     -3.03
   506 A Williamsville South     8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.50
   507 A East Aurora             8- 6       2     1           0.85
   510 H Grand Island           15- 9       6    14    --    -4.00
   514 A Amherst                 4-11      -7    -8           1.32
   520 A Lake Shore              6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N Geneva                 10- 7       3    14    ---        
   420 A Hilton                  6- 9      -3    19    ---        
   506 A Williamsville South     8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.50
   510 H Grand Island           15- 9       6    14    --    -4.00
   504 H Williamsville East     10- 7       3     6    -     -3.03
   520 A Lake Shore              6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Lake Shore             12-11       1    -5    +++    6.97
   405 A Lake Shore              7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.83
   330 A West Seneca East        3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.11
   428 H West Seneca East        8-13      -5    -7    +      2.26
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.96 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.80 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/