Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Tigers               Coach  =   Sarah Aschenbach      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6183929    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Stone Ridge CDS        DC    ISL A   ( 6-10, 81.3)     7-11   
 318 A Potomac School         DC    ISL A   (11- 7, 88.3)    10-14   
 319 A St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 0-11, 64.4)    16- 3   
 323 A Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL A   ( 6-11, 81.8)     9- 8   
 327 N New Trier              IL    C Sub   (18- 4, 97.2)    10-16   
 330 A St. Andrew's, MD       DC    ISL AA  ( 1- 8, 68.6)    15- 4   
 406 A Worcester Prep, MD     MD    EESIAC  (11- 5, 94.3)    11-15   
 409 N Loyola Academy, IL     IL    Indep   (24- 1, 99.9)     7-19   
 409 N Milton, GA             GA    AAAAA   (18- 1, 99.9)     9-16   
 410 H Mason, OH              OH    D1 S    (11- 5, 88.1)    13-13   
 412 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 8-10, 78.7)    17-11   
 415 A Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  (21- 2, 91.3)     8-11   
 416 H Georgetown Day School  DC    ISL AA  ( 4- 7, 69.1)    11- 1   
 417 N Huntingtown            MD    4A-3A   (10- 5, 80.6)    11- 8   
 417 N Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 6-12, 81.4)     5-16   
 419 A Maret School           DC    ISL AA  ( 2- 8, 67.8)    15- 1   
 426 A Madeira School         DC    ISL AA  ( 6- 9, 74.7)    16- 6   
 430 H Sidwell Friends        DC    ISL A   ( 6- 9, 77.1)    12- 7   
 504 H Bullis School          DC    ISL A   ( 6-14, 80.4)     7-11   
 506 A Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  ( 8-10, 82.0)    11-12   
 508 N Georgetown Day School  DC    ISL AA  ( 4- 7, 69.1)    14- 3   
 509 N Sidwell Friends        DC    ISL A   ( 6- 9, 77.1)    14- 8   
 512 N Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  (21- 2, 91.3)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Stone Ridge CDS         7-11      -4     1    --    -5.21
   318 A Potomac School         10-14      -4    -5           1.78
   319 A St. John's College, DC 16- 3      13    18           0.00
   323 A Holton-Arms School      9- 8       1     0           0.26
   327 N New Trier              10-16      -6   -14          n/a  
   330 A St. Andrew's, MD       15- 4      11    13           0.00
   406 A Worcester Prep, MD     11-15      -4   -12          n/a  
   409 N Loyola Academy, IL      7-19     -12   -17          n/a  
   409 N Milton, GA              9-16      -7   -17          n/a  
   410 H Mason, OH              13-13       0    -4          n/a  
   412 A Bishop O'Connell       17-11       6     3    +      2.16
   415 A Episcopal, VA           8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.76
   416 H Georgetown Day School  11- 1      10    13           0.00
   417 N Huntingtown            11- 8       3     2          n/a  
   417 N Mount de Sales          5-16     -11     1          n/a  
   419 A Maret School           15- 1      14    14           0.00
   426 A Madeira School         16- 6      10     7    +      2.16
   430 H Sidwell Friends        12- 7       5     5          -0.77
   504 H Bullis School           7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.40
   506 A Flint Hill School      11-12      -1     0          -1.50
   508 N Georgetown Day School  14- 3      11    13           0.00
   509 N Sidwell Friends        14- 8       6     5           0.41
   512 N Episcopal, VA           4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N Mount de Sales          5-16     -11     1    ---        
   504 H Bullis School           7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.40
   316 A Stone Ridge CDS         7-11      -4     1    --    -5.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Worcester Prep, MD     11-15      -4   -12    +++        
   327 N New Trier              10-16      -6   -14    ++         
   410 H Mason, OH              13-13       0    -4    ++         
   415 A Episcopal, VA           8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.76
   409 N Milton, GA              9-16      -7   -17    +          
   412 A Bishop O'Connell       17-11       6     3    +      2.16
   426 A Madeira School         16- 6      10     7    +      2.16
   512 N Episcopal, VA           4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.67 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.53 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/