Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Tom MacDonald         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4362946    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   ( 7- 9, 83.4)    11-10   
 401 H Cazenovia              NY C  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 80.5)     7- 8   
 406 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 77.3)    12-13   
 408 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 79.1)     8-14   
 412 A Christian Brothers, NY NY C  Sec 3   (17- 2, 92.2)     8-16   
 413 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 76.0)    10-11   
 415 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (18- 2, 99.9)     6-21   
 420 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 77.3)    13-10   
 422 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 72.7)     8- 9   
 427 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 85.9)     9-16   
 429 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (14- 4, 93.8)     5-15   
 503 H Bishop Ludden          NY C  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 71.5)    17- 7   
 506 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 5, 93.5)     5-14   
 511 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 86.9)    10-14   
 520 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 8, 83.6)    13-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Jordan-Elbridge        11-10       1    -5    +++    6.84
   401 H Cazenovia               7- 8      -1    -2           1.92
   406 H Corcoran-Fowler        12-13      -1     0          -1.28
   408 H Cicero-North Syracuse   8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.51
   412 A Christian Brothers, NY  8-16      -8   -17    +      2.00
   413 A Central Square         10-11      -1    -1           0.20
   415 H West Genesee            6-21     -15   -22           0.00
   420 A Corcoran-Fowler        13-10       3    -2    ++     5.52
   422 H Rome Free Academy       8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.91
   427 A Oswego                  9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00
   429 H Fayetteville-Manlius    5-15     -10   -16           0.00
   503 H Bishop Ludden          17- 7      10     6    +      3.97
   506 H Baldwinsville           5-14      -9   -15           1.00
   511 A Liverpool              10-14      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   520 H Auburn                 13-17      -4    -6    +      2.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Cicero-North Syracuse   8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.51
   422 H Rome Free Academy       8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Jordan-Elbridge        11-10       1    -5    +++    6.84
   511 A Liverpool              10-14      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   420 A Corcoran-Fowler        13-10       3    -2    ++     5.52
   412 A Christian Brothers, NY  8-16      -8   -17    +      2.00
   427 A Oswego                  9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00
   503 H Bishop Ludden          17- 7      10     6    +      3.97
   520 H Auburn                 13-17      -4    -6    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.16 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.96 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/