Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Courtney Gibbons      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0515671    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    12- 5   
 322 A Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 73.7)    21-11   
 324 A South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 0-12, 66.4)    19- 8   
 408 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 86.3)    12-11   
 412 H West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 4- 8, 78.5)    16-11   
 415 A Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 61.1)    18- 0   
 419 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 77.5)    12- 8   
 421 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 7- 9, 77.3)    13- 5   
 428 A Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 77.8)    10- 7   
 429 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    16- 5   
 430 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 0-14, 57.5)    20- 1   
 503 H Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 74.1)    19- 5   
 506 A Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   ( 6- 6, 72.0)    23-10   
 513 H Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 61.1)    17- 2   
 517 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 77.5)    13- 7   
 519 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 86.3)    11-15   
 524 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (14- 6, 87.4)    12-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Potomac Falls          12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00
   322 A Heritage, VA           21-11      10    12           0.00
   324 A South Lakes            19- 8      11    19           0.00
   408 H Broad Run              12-11       1     1          -0.60
   412 H West Potomac           16-11       5     9    --    -4.31
   415 A Park View              18- 0      18    24           0.00
   419 A Freedom-South Riding   12- 8       4     8    --    -4.54
   421 H Washington-Lee         13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   428 A Loudoun County         10- 7       3     8    --    -5.15
   429 H Potomac Falls          16- 5      11    17           0.00
   430 H Wakefield HS, VA       20- 1      19    30           0.00
   503 H Dominion               19- 5      14    13           0.00
   506 A Briar Woods            23-10      13    14           0.00
   513 H Park View              17- 2      15    26           0.00
   517 H Freedom-South Riding   13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   519 H Broad Run              11-15      -4     1    --    -5.60
   524 H Monticello, VA         12-14      -2     0    -     -2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H West Potomac           16-11       5     9    --    -4.31
   419 A Freedom-South Riding   12- 8       4     8    --    -4.54
   428 A Loudoun County         10- 7       3     8    --    -5.15
   517 H Freedom-South Riding   13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   519 H Broad Run              11-15      -4     1    --    -5.60
   319 A Potomac Falls          12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00
   421 H Washington-Lee         13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   524 H Monticello, VA         12-14      -2     0    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.92 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.09 Local SOS Rank.............    79
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/