Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Myslinski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.5767822    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.9)     8- 3   
 401 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 3, 99.9)     6-10   
 405 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 97.1)     9- 7   
 407 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 74.2)    16- 0   
 409 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 85.2)    15- 2   
 413 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 91.7)    11- 4   
 427 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 91.0)     9- 3   
 428 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 3, 99.9)     4-10   
 430 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 97.1)     4- 7   
 504 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 74.2)    17- 1   
 506 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 85.2)     9- 4   
 508 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 72.7)     7- 5   
 510 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 91.7)     6- 4   
 512 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)    18-14   
 513 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 97.9)     7-10   
 517 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 8, 88.9)    11- 0   
 526 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 97.1)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Williamsville East      8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   401 H Clarence                6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.62
   405 A Lancaster, NY           9- 7       2     0    +      2.45
   407 A Niagara Falls          16- 0      16    22           0.00
   409 H Lockport               15- 2      13    13           0.00
   413 H Orchard Park           11- 4       7     6           0.19
   427 H Iroquois                9- 3       6     7          -1.55
   428 A Clarence                4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.76
   430 H Lancaster, NY           4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.40
   504 H Niagara Falls          17- 1      16    24           0.00
   506 A Lockport                9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   508 A Rome Free Academy       7- 5       2    23          n/a  
   510 A Orchard Park            6- 4       2     4    -     -2.96
   512 H Lake Shore             18-14       4     0    +      3.35
   513 A Williamsville North     7-10      -3    -1          -1.74
   517 A East Aurora            11- 0      11     7    +      2.22
   526 A Lancaster, NY           5- 6      -1     0          -0.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Rome Free Academy       7- 5       2    23    ---        
   329 A Williamsville East      8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   430 H Lancaster, NY           4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.40
   506 A Lockport                9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   401 H Clarence                6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.62
   428 A Clarence                4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.76
   510 A Orchard Park            6- 4       2     4    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Lancaster, NY           9- 7       2     0    +      2.45
   512 H Lake Shore             18-14       4     0    +      3.35
   517 A East Aurora            11- 0      11     7    +      2.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.59 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.90 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/