Region = CT    Div 2            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.4843063    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Old Lyme               CT    Div 2   (12- 5, 84.1)     7-13   
 408 H St. Bernard, CT        CT    Div 2   (15- 5, 86.4)     9-20   
 412 A East Lyme              CT    Div 1   (16- 3, 88.1)     6- 8   
 415 H Woodstock Academy      CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 62.8)    17- 7   
 420 A Ledyard                CT    Div 2   ( 9- 8, 75.1)     6-10   
 422 A Waterford, CT          CT    Div 2   (11- 8, 79.3)     7-12   
 424 A North Branford         CT    Div 2   (12- 6, 80.4)     8-12   
 427 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Div 1   (13- 6, 84.4)     6-17   
 429 H Stonington             CT    Div 2   ( 7- 8, 75.1)    11-12   
 430 A Morgan School          CT    Div 2   ( 4-11, 69.4)    11- 6   
 506 H East Lyme              CT    Div 1   (16- 3, 88.1)     4-15   
 511 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 62.8)    19- 5   
 515 H North Branford         CT    Div 2   (12- 6, 80.4)    11-16   
 518 H Waterford, CT          CT    Div 2   (11- 8, 79.3)    10-14   
 522 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Div 1   (13- 6, 84.4)     2-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Old Lyme                7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   408 H St. Bernard, CT         9-20     -11   -13           0.00
   412 A East Lyme               6- 8      -2   -17    +++    8.00
   415 H Woodstock Academy      17- 7      10     9           0.24
   420 A Ledyard                 6-10      -4    -4           0.30
   422 A Waterford, CT           7-12      -5    -8    +      3.59
   424 A North Branford          8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.69
   427 H Norwich Free Acad       6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   429 H Stonington             11-12      -1    -2           1.51
   430 A Morgan School          11- 6       5     1    +      3.67
   506 H East Lyme               4-15     -11   -15           0.00
   511 A Woodstock Academy      19- 5      14     7    +      2.06
   515 H North Branford         11-16      -5    -7    +      2.87
   518 H Waterford, CT          10-14      -4    -6    +      2.77
   522 A Norwich Free Acad       2-16     -14   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A East Lyme               6- 8      -2   -17    +++    8.00
   407 A Old Lyme                7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   424 A North Branford          8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.69
   422 A Waterford, CT           7-12      -5    -8    +      3.59
   430 A Morgan School          11- 6       5     1    +      3.67
   511 A Woodstock Academy      19- 5      14     7    +      2.06
   515 H North Branford         11-16      -5    -7    +      2.87
   518 H Waterford, CT          10-14      -4    -6    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.67 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.96 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    65
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/