First Colonial                4 - 6


 
                                     Region = VA    HRLAX            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   William Hayes         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   71.5445251    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Menchville             VA    HRLAX   ( 1- 9, 59.0)    10- 0   
 324 H Grafton, VA            VA    HRLAX   ( 5- 6, 70.8)     5-14   
 416 A Williamsburg           VA    HRLAX   ( 6- 5, 70.9)     9-10   
 419 H Chesapeake United      VA    HRLAX   ( 3- 8, 66.3)     9- 8   
 421 H Princess Anne          VA    HRLAX   ( 2-12, 64.1)     8- 6   
 429 A Maury                  VA    HRLAX   (13- 2, 82.1)     3-13   
 501 N York, VA               VA    HRLAX   ( 1- 8, 56.9)     9- 1   
 503 N Tabb                   VA    HRLAX   ( 9- 4, 79.6)     2-14   
 505 A Frank Cox              VA    HRLAX   (11- 6, 78.3)     1-11   
 512 N Tabb                   VA    HRLAX   ( 9- 4, 79.6)     3-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Menchville             10- 0      10     7    +      2.46
   324 H Grafton, VA             5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.62
   416 A Williamsburg            9-10      -1    -4    +      3.41
   419 H Chesapeake United       9- 8       1     2          -1.10
   421 H Princess Anne           8- 6       2     4    -     -2.28
   429 A Maury                   3-13     -10   -15           0.00
   501 N York, VA                9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00
   503 N Tabb                    2-14     -12   -12           0.00
   505 A Frank Cox               1-11     -10   -11           0.00
   512 N Tabb                    3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Grafton, VA             5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.62
   421 H Princess Anne           8- 6       2     4    -     -2.28
   501 N York, VA                9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Menchville             10- 0      10     7    +      2.46
   416 A Williamsburg            9-10      -1    -4    +      3.41
   512 N Tabb                    3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.46 Local Power Rank...........    79
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.25 Local SOS Rank.............    93
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0


  
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