Region = CT    Div 2            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Amy Alvord            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.5885620    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Norwalk                CT    Div 2   ( 6-10, 81.9)    16- 6   
 409 A Norwalk                CT    Div 2   ( 6-10, 81.9)    11-12   
 413 A Brien McMahon          CT    Div 1   ( 5-10, 82.0)     8- 4   
 419 A Ridgefield             CT    Div 2   ( 7-10, 83.1)    13- 9   
 422 H Danbury                CT    Div 2   ( 9- 9, 88.2)    13- 9   
 424 H St. Joseph, CT         CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 75.1)    17- 7   
 427 H Staples                CT    Div 2   (15- 7, 93.1)    13-12 2o
 430 A Darien                 CT    Div 1   (15- 5, 99.7)     4-19   
 503 A Trumbull               CT    Div 2   (12- 6, 88.3)    13- 4   
 505 A Staples                CT    Div 2   (15- 7, 93.1)     9- 8   
 507 H Fairfield Warde        CT    Div 1   ( 5-11, 82.6)     9- 8   
 510 H Lewis Mills            CT    Indep   ( 5-11, 67.0)    15- 4   
 511 H Stamford               CT            ( 0-14, 71.9)    17- 4   
 513 A Wilton                 CT    Div 1   (13- 6, 96.5)     4-14   
 515 H Greenwich HS, CT       CT    Div 1   (16- 4, 98.1)    12-13  o
 518 H New Canaan             CT    Div 1   (19- 3, 99.9)    10-19   
 601 H Valley Regional        CT    Div 2   ( 7-10, 72.0)    22- 4   
 603 H Trumbull               CT    Div 2   (12- 6, 88.3)     8- 7   
 607 A Granby Memorial, CT    CT    Div 2   (16- 2, 86.4)    11- 7   
 609 N Haddam-Killingworth    CT    Div 2   (15- 4, 83.7)    18- 7   
 612 N Staples                CT    Div 2   (15- 7, 93.1)    15- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Norwalk                16- 6      10    11           0.00
   409 A Norwalk                11-12      -1     9    ---  -10.98
   413 A Brien McMahon           8- 4       4     9    --    -5.79
   419 A Ridgefield             13- 9       4     8    --    -4.72
   422 H Danbury                13- 9       4     5          -1.41
   424 H St. Joseph, CT         17- 7      10    18           0.00
   427 H Staples                13-12 2o    1     0           0.44
   430 A Darien                  4-19     -15    -7    -     -2.17
   503 A Trumbull               13- 4       9     3    ++     5.51
   505 A Staples                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.26
   507 H Fairfield Warde         9- 8       1    11    ---   -9.00
   510 H Lewis Mills            15- 4      11    26           0.00
   511 H Stamford               17- 4      13    21           0.00
   513 A Wilton                  4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.29
   515 H Greenwich HS, CT       12-13  o   -1    -4    +      3.49
   518 H New Canaan             10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.75
   601 H Valley Regional        22- 4      18    21           0.00
   603 H Trumbull                8- 7       1     5    --    -4.30
   607 A Granby Memorial, CT    11- 7       4     5          -1.39
   609 N Haddam-Killingworth    18- 7      11     8           1.01
   612 N Staples                15- 9       6     0    +++    6.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Norwalk                11-12      -1     9    ---  -10.98
   507 H Fairfield Warde         9- 8       1    11    ---   -9.00
   413 A Brien McMahon           8- 4       4     9    --    -5.79
   419 A Ridgefield             13- 9       4     8    --    -4.72
   513 A Wilton                  4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.29
   603 H Trumbull                8- 7       1     5    --    -4.30
   430 A Darien                  4-19     -15    -7    -     -2.17
   518 H New Canaan             10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   612 N Staples                15- 9       6     0    +++    6.35
   503 A Trumbull               13- 4       9     3    ++     5.51
   505 A Staples                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.26
   515 H Greenwich HS, CT       12-13  o   -1    -4    +      3.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.74 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.04 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0
/