Region = MA    No D2            
   Nickname = A Falcons                                               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.7268677    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   (14- 5, 83.9)     7- 9   
 408 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (14- 6, 83.8)     8-14   
 413 A Salem, MA              MA    No D1   ( 2-12, 66.5)    16- 5   
 414 H Haverhill              MA    No D1   ( 5-12, 71.3)    15- 3   
 419 A Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   (15- 8, 82.3)    17-16   
 421 H Swampscott             MA    No D2   ( 7- 8, 71.5)    18- 6   
 423 H Ipswich                MA    No D2   ( 7-10, 77.7)    18-17   
 427 H Beverly                MA    No D1   ( 2-15, 67.8)    18-12   
 428 A Manchester-Essex       MA    No D2   ( 3-13, 69.2)    16- 9   
 430 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   (14- 5, 83.9)    14-11   
 510 A Haverhill              MA    No D1   ( 5-12, 71.3)    16- 5   
 511 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  MA    No D1   (10- 6, 77.1)    14- 7   
 512 H Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   (15- 8, 82.3)    10-11   
 513 A Salem, MA              MA    No D1   ( 2-12, 66.5)    13- 8   
 515 A Gloucester             MA    No D1   ( 1-12, 65.0)    15- 2   
 518 A Marblehead             MA    No D2   (15- 7, 82.4)    11-10   
 520 A Beverly                MA    No D1   ( 2-15, 67.8)    19- 2   
 524 N Swampscott             MA    No D2   ( 7- 8, 71.5)    16- 9   
 525 H Gloucester             MA    No D1   ( 1-12, 65.0)    16- 5   
 526 A Newburyport            MA    No D2   ( 4-11, 71.7)     9- 5   
 604 H Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   (15- 8, 82.3)    14-12   
 607 H Weston, MA             MA    No D2   (18- 4, 89.8)     9-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Hamilton-Wenham         7- 9      -2     0          -1.53
   408 A North Andover           8-14      -6     0    --    -5.69
   413 A Salem, MA              16- 5      11    16           0.00
   414 H Haverhill              15- 3      12    13           0.00
   419 A Pentucket Regional     17-16       1     1          -0.18
   421 H Swampscott             18- 6      12    13           0.00
   423 H Ipswich                18-17       1     7    ---   -6.45
   427 H Beverly                18-12       6    17    --    -4.00
   428 A Manchester-Essex       16- 9       7    14    -     -3.00
   430 H Hamilton-Wenham        14-11       3     1           1.79
   510 A Haverhill              16- 5      11    12           0.00
   511 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  14- 7       7     8          -1.07
   512 H Pentucket Regional     10-11      -1     2    -     -3.86
   513 A Salem, MA              13- 8       5    16    --    -5.00
   515 A Gloucester             15- 2      13    18           0.00
   518 A Marblehead             11-10       1     1          -0.10
   520 A Beverly                19- 2      17    15           0.00
   524 N Swampscott             16- 9       7    12    -     -3.00
   525 H Gloucester             16- 5      11    20           0.00
   526 A Newburyport             9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   604 H Pentucket Regional     14-12       2     2          -0.86
   607 H Weston, MA              9-19     -10    -4    --    -5.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Ipswich                18-17       1     7    ---   -6.45
   526 A Newburyport             9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   408 A North Andover           8-14      -6     0    --    -5.69
   427 H Beverly                18-12       6    17    --    -4.00
   513 A Salem, MA              13- 8       5    16    --    -5.00
   607 H Weston, MA              9-19     -10    -4    --    -5.32
   428 A Manchester-Essex       16- 9       7    14    -     -3.00
   512 H Pentucket Regional     10-11      -1     2    -     -3.86
   524 N Swampscott             16- 9       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.30 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.68 Local SOS Rank.............    94
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/