Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Brent Ritz            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0916138    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Hereford               MD    3A-2A   ( 8- 8, 84.1)    13- 8   
 330 N Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   (12- 7, 86.9)     5- 4   
 401 H Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (16- 3, 93.5)    11-17   
 403 N Annapolis, MD          MD    3A-2A   (11- 5, 83.8)    15- 5   
 403 N Queen Anne's County    MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 8, 78.0)    13- 4   
 408 A North Harford          MD    3A-2A   (11- 7, 86.9)    11-10   
 413 A Bel Air                MD    3A-2A   ( 8- 9, 81.2)    15- 7   
 415 A Perryville             MD    2A-1A   ( 1- 8, 62.6)    21- 0   
 416 H Loch Raven             MD    2A-1A   (11- 5, 84.5)     8- 7   
 420 H Fallston               MD    3A-2A   (11- 5, 89.6)    13- 9   
 422 A Aberdeen               MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 7, 68.9)    17- 1   
 424 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 9, 87.2)     8-12   
 504 N John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (18- 4, 91.9)     7- 9   
 506 A Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (17- 2, 95.1)     7- 9   
 511 A Harford Tech           MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 5, 73.6)    22- 2   
 515 H Parkville              MD    4A-3A   ( 1- 6, 65.1)    16- 2   
 517 N Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 6, 83.9)    12- 8   
 519 H Dulaney                MD    4A-3A   (10- 8, 85.8)     7- 3   
 522 N Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 80.3)    22- 2   
 525 N South River            MD    4A-3A   (17- 2, 96.0)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Hereford               13- 8       5     6          -1.01
   330 N Patterson Mill          5- 4       1     4    -     -3.13
   401 H Broadneck              11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.52
   403 N Annapolis, MD          15- 5      10     7    +      2.81
   403 N Queen Anne's County    13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   408 A North Harford          11-10       1     3    -     -2.14
   413 A Bel Air                15- 7       8     8          -0.87
   415 A Perryville             21- 0      21    27           0.00
   416 H Loch Raven              8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.47
   420 H Fallston               13- 9       4     2           1.62
   422 A Aberdeen               17- 1      16    21           0.00
   424 H St. Paul's SG, MD       8-12      -4     4          n/a  
   504 N John Carroll, MD        7- 9      -2     0          n/a  
   506 A Century, MD             7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.09
   511 A Harford Tech           22- 2      20    16           0.00
   515 H Parkville              16- 2      14    26           0.00
   517 N Catonsville            12- 8       4     7    -     -3.15
   519 H Dulaney                 7- 3       4     6    -     -2.19
   522 N Winston Churchill      22- 2      20    10           0.00
   525 N South River            10-12      -2    -5    +      3.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Loch Raven              8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.47
   424 H St. Paul's SG, MD       8-12      -4     4    ---        
   401 H Broadneck              11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.52
   330 N Patterson Mill          5- 4       1     4    -     -3.13
   408 A North Harford          11-10       1     3    -     -2.14
   517 N Catonsville            12- 8       4     7    -     -3.15
   519 H Dulaney                 7- 3       4     6    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 N Annapolis, MD          15- 5      10     7    +      2.81
   506 A Century, MD             7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.09
   525 N South River            10-12      -2    -5    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.02 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.06 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/