Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Doug Kohler           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.6)    10- 6   
 405 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 91.7)    15- 8   
 407 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 85.2)    15-10   
 409 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 97.1)     7- 3   
 410 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 98.4)    10- 9   
 413 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 74.2)    12- 0   
 415 N Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (15- 4, 91.2)     6- 7   
 428 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.6)    10- 4   
 430 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 91.7)    15- 3   
 504 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 85.2)    16- 7   
 506 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 97.1)     3-10   
 510 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 74.2)    15- 1   
 511 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 88.1)    16- 4   
 513 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.9)   
 517 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 93.5)    11- 5   
 518 A Nichols School         NY    Private (10- 6, 96.3)    12-12 2o
 526 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 91.7)     9- 5   
 602 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 97.1)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Frontier               10- 6       4     1    +      2.62
   405 A Orchard Park           15- 8       7     7          -0.27
   407 H Lockport               15-10       5    15    --    -5.00
   409 H Lancaster, NY           7- 3       4     3           0.28
   410 A Amherst                10- 9       1     0           0.38
   413 A Niagara Falls          12- 0      12    24           0.00
   415 N Penn Yan Academy        6- 7      -1     8          n/a  
   428 H Frontier               10- 4       6     3    +      2.76
   430 H Orchard Park           15- 3      12     9           0.87
   504 A Lockport               16- 7       9    13          -1.00
   506 A Lancaster, NY           3-10      -7     1    ---   -8.86
   510 H Niagara Falls          15- 1      14    26           0.00
   511 H West Seneca West       16- 4      12    12           0.00
   517 H Hamburg                11- 5       6     7          -1.34
   518 A Nichols School         12-12 2o    0     2    -     -2.70
   526 H Orchard Park            9- 5       4     9    --    -5.13
   602 N Lancaster, NY           9-11      -2     2    --    -4.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 N Penn Yan Academy        6- 7      -1     8    ---        
   506 A Lancaster, NY           3-10      -7     1    ---   -8.86
   407 H Lockport               15-10       5    15    --    -5.00
   526 H Orchard Park            9- 5       4     9    --    -5.13
   602 N Lancaster, NY           9-11      -2     2    --    -4.79
   518 A Nichols School         12-12 2o    0     2    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Frontier               10- 6       4     1    +      2.62
   428 H Frontier               10- 4       6     3    +      2.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.05 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   23.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.205.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/