Briar Woods                   6 - 6


 
                                     Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Laura Nelson          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   75.0190353    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 63.7)    17-16 2o
 318 A Kettle Run             VA    NW AA   ( 7- 6, 70.2)    10- 9   
 408 A Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 77.8)     5-14   
 412 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 86.3)     4-16   
 415 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    12-10   
 419 A Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 74.1)     9-20   
 422 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 77.5)    14-12   
 428 H Fauquier               VA    NW AA   ( 5- 7, 68.0)    14- 8   
 429 H Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 61.1)    17- 5   
 503 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 86.3)     6-18   
 506 H George Mason           VA    NW AA   (15- 2, 86.9)    10-23   
 513 A Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 77.8)     6-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   17-16 2o    1     7    ---   -6.32
   318 A Kettle Run             10- 9       1     0           0.15
   408 A Loudoun County          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.20
   412 A Broad Run               4-16     -12   -15           0.00
   415 H Potomac Falls          12-10       2     2          -0.09
   419 A Dominion                9-20     -11    -3    ---   -6.90
   422 H Freedom-South Riding   14-12       2    -4    +++    6.55
   428 H Fauquier               14- 8       6     4           1.09
   429 H Park View              17- 5      12    11           0.00
   503 A Broad Run               6-18     -12   -15           0.00
   506 H George Mason           10-23     -13   -14           0.00
   513 A Loudoun County          6-11      -5    -6           1.80


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   17-16 2o    1     7    ---   -6.32
   419 A Dominion                9-20     -11    -3    ---   -6.90
   408 A Loudoun County          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.20


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Freedom-South Riding   14-12       2    -4    +++    6.55




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.98 Local Power Rank...........    66
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.91 Local SOS Rank.............    74
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0


  
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