Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Erin Stacy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2676239    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 A Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (14- 6, 92.4)     5-19   
 324 H Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   (13- 5, 92.8)     6-24   
 407 A Oakton                 VA    Cncrd   ( 9- 6, 92.2)     5-15   
 408 A George Mason           VA    NW AA   (15- 2, 86.9)    11-12   
 412 H Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   ( 6- 6, 72.0)    16- 4   
 414 H Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   ( 0-14, 69.1)    21- 6   
 415 H Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 74.1)    23- 8   
 419 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    19- 5   
 422 A Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 61.1)    24- 3   
 429 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 77.5)    23- 7   
 503 H Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   ( 6- 6, 72.0)    18- 6   
 506 A Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 77.8)    17- 6   
 513 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    19- 7   
 517 H Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 77.8)    20-13   
 519 A George Mason           VA    NW AA   (15- 2, 86.9)    15-11   
 524 H Eastern View           VA    Indep   ( 6- 8, 71.4)    22-11   
 526 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Battlefield             5-19     -14    -7    -     -2.94
   324 H Stone Bridge            6-24     -18    -5    --    -4.39
   407 A Oakton                  5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.09
   408 A George Mason           11-12      -1    -1           0.60
   412 H Briar Woods            16- 4      12    15           0.00
   414 H Mercersburg Academy    21- 6      15    17          n/a  
   415 H Dominion               23- 8      15    13           0.00
   419 A Potomac Falls          19- 5      14    14           0.00
   422 A Park View              24- 3      21    24           0.00
   429 A Freedom-South Riding   23- 7      16     7    +      2.13
   503 H Briar Woods            18- 6      12    15           0.00
   506 A Loudoun County         17- 6      11     7    +      2.51
   513 H Potomac Falls          19- 7      12    16           0.00
   517 H Loudoun County         20-13       7     9    -     -2.35
   519 A George Mason           15-11       4    -1    ++     5.60
   524 H Eastern View           22-11      11    15           0.00
   526 A Western Albemarle       6-17     -11   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Stone Bridge            6-24     -18    -5    --    -4.39
   319 A Battlefield             5-19     -14    -7    -     -2.94
   407 A Oakton                  5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.09
   517 H Loudoun County         20-13       7     9    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A George Mason           15-11       4    -1    ++     5.60
   429 A Freedom-South Riding   23- 7      16     7    +      2.13
   506 A Loudoun County         17- 6      11     7    +      2.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.26 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.31 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/