Region = PA    PAC              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   P. Wernersbach        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1613464    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H North Penn             PA    Sub C   (19- 4, 90.2)     7- 8   
 331 H Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC     ( 4-12, 69.4)    16- 2   
 405 A Downingtown East       PA    Chsmnt  (19- 6, 91.7)    13-20   
 407 A Owen J. Roberts        PA    PAC     (11- 8, 78.3)    12-10   
 409 A Methacton              PA    PAC     (12- 7, 81.9)    15- 4   
 410 H Upper Dublin           PA    Sub A   (18- 1, 89.7)     8-11   
 412 H Spring-Ford            PA    PAC     ( 4-14, 70.6)    20- 3   
 419 A St. Pius X, PA         PA    PAC     ( 0-15, 56.6)    18- 1   
 421 H Pottsgrove             PA    PAC     ( 8-10, 71.4)    21- 2   
 422 A Upper Perkiomen        PA    PAC     ( 6- 9, 72.8)    22- 9   
 428 A Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC     ( 4-12, 69.4)    19- 6   
 430 H Pottstown              PA    PAC     (13- 7, 80.7)    19-10   
 501 A Great Valley           PA    Chsmnt  (21- 3, 94.8)     5-14   
 503 H Owen J. Roberts        PA    PAC     (11- 8, 78.3)    16- 4   
 504 H Phoenixville           PA    PAC     ( 6-10, 70.4)    18- 5   
 505 H Methacton              PA    PAC     (12- 7, 81.9)     9- 8   
 507 A Spring-Ford            PA    PAC     ( 4-14, 70.6)    17-11   
 511 N Phoenixville           PA    PAC     ( 6-10, 70.4)    16- 4   
 513 N Methacton              PA    PAC     (12- 7, 81.9)    17- 9   
 518 H Mt. St. Joseph Acad    PA    CAL     (10- 9, 80.6)    19- 9   
 520 A Downingtown East       PA    Chsmnt  (19- 6, 91.7)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H North Penn              7- 8      -1    -1           0.61
   331 H Perkiomen Valley       16- 2      14    19           0.00
   405 A Downingtown East       13-20      -7    -4    -     -2.75
   407 A Owen J. Roberts        12-10       2     9    ---   -7.09
   409 A Methacton              15- 4      11     5    ++     4.52
   410 H Upper Dublin            8-11      -3    -1          -1.84
   412 H Spring-Ford            20- 3      17    17           0.00
   419 A St. Pius X, PA         18- 1      17    30           0.00
   421 H Pottsgrove             21- 2      19    17           0.00
   422 A Upper Perkiomen        22- 9      13    14           0.00
   428 A Perkiomen Valley       19- 6      13    18           0.00
   430 H Pottstown              19-10       9     7           1.07
   501 A Great Valley            5-14      -9    -7          -1.63
   503 H Owen J. Roberts        16- 4      12    10           0.00
   504 H Phoenixville           18- 5      13    18           0.00
   505 H Methacton               9- 8       1     6    --    -5.64
   507 A Spring-Ford            17-11       6    16    --    -4.00
   511 N Phoenixville           16- 4      12    17           0.00
   513 N Methacton              17- 9       8     6           1.94
   518 H Mt. St. Joseph Acad    19- 9      10     7    +      2.01
   520 A Downingtown East        9-12      -3    -4           1.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Owen J. Roberts        12-10       2     9    ---   -7.09
   505 H Methacton               9- 8       1     6    --    -5.64
   507 A Spring-Ford            17-11       6    16    --    -4.00
   405 A Downingtown East       13-20      -7    -4    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Methacton              15- 4      11     5    ++     4.52
   518 H Mt. St. Joseph Acad    19- 9      10     7    +      2.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.00 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.66 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/