Region = CT    Div 1            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Terri Ziemnicki       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1405640    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Canton, CT             CT            ( 0-13, 61.5)    18- 2   
 409 H Hall, West Hartford    CT    Div 1   (11- 6, 89.0)     5-16   
 413 A Granby Memorial, CT    CT    Div 2   (16- 2, 86.4)    11-13  o
 415 A Somers, CT             CT    Div 1   ( 6-10, 73.8)    21- 6   
 420 H Conard                 CT    Div 1   (10- 6, 84.9)    11-18   
 423 A Berlin                 CT    Indep   ( 3-12, 72.1)    12- 7   
 427 A Ellington              CT    Div 2   ( 9- 8, 76.6)    18- 9   
 430 A Suffield HS            CT    Div 2   (11- 7, 84.0)     5- 9   
 505 H Granby Memorial, CT    CT    Div 2   (16- 2, 86.4)     9-12   
 507 A Canton, CT             CT            ( 0-13, 61.5)    15- 1   
 508 H Hamden                 CT    Div 1   (10- 8, 82.4)    17- 5   
 512 H South Windsor          CT    Div 1   ( 6- 9, 81.0)    13-13  o
 518 H Somers, CT             CT    Div 1   ( 6-10, 73.8)    17- 5   
 520 H Suffield HS            CT    Div 2   (11- 7, 84.0)    11- 7   
 521 H Glastonbury            CT    Div 1   (15- 3, 96.2)     9-10   
 524 H Ellington              CT    Div 2   ( 9- 8, 76.6)    18- 8   
 601 A Conard                 CT    Div 1   (10- 6, 84.9)    12-10   
 603 A Daniel Hand            CT    Div 1   (18- 3, 96.4)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Canton, CT             18- 2      16    23           0.00
   409 H Hall, West Hartford     5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.23
   413 A Granby Memorial, CT    11-13  o   -2    -3           1.01
   415 A Somers, CT             21- 6      15     9           0.35
   420 H Conard                 11-18      -7     0    ---   -7.36
   423 A Berlin                 12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   427 A Ellington              18- 9       9     6    +      2.13
   430 A Suffield HS             5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.46
   505 H Granby Memorial, CT     9-12      -3    -1          -1.81
   507 A Canton, CT             15- 1      14    21           0.00
   508 H Hamden                 17- 5      12     2    +++    7.12
   512 H South Windsor          13-13  o    0     4    --    -4.21
   518 H Somers, CT             17- 5      12    11           0.00
   520 H Suffield HS            11- 7       4     1    +      2.72
   521 H Glastonbury             9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   524 H Ellington              18- 8      10     8           1.31
   601 A Conard                 12-10       2    -1    +      3.46
   603 A Daniel Hand             5-17     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Hall, West Hartford     5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.23
   420 H Conard                 11-18      -7     0    ---   -7.36
   423 A Berlin                 12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   512 H South Windsor          13-13  o    0     4    --    -4.21
   430 A Suffield HS             5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Hamden                 17- 5      12     2    +++    7.12
   521 H Glastonbury             9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   427 A Ellington              18- 9       9     6    +      2.13
   520 H Suffield HS            11- 7       4     1    +      2.72
   601 A Conard                 12-10       2    -1    +      3.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.34 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.89 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
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