Region = VA    NW AAA           
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Laurie Pratt          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0664597    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 75.8)    15-11   
 318 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (14- 6, 87.4)     9-11   
 323 H Collegiate School      VA    LIS     (20- 4, 99.9)     6-17   
 325 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     8-17   
 329 A Trinity Episcopal      VA    LIS     ( 8- 8, 86.1)   
 401 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA    LIS     (17- 4, 98.5)     8-22   
 415 H St. Catherine's, VA    VA    LIS     ( 8- 9, 87.9)    10-18   
 420 A Collegiate School      VA    LIS     (20- 4, 99.9)     4-16   
 422 H Covenant School        VA    LIS     ( 6- 7, 80.9)    14-19   
 429 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     4-18   
 429 A Trinity Episcopal      VA    LIS     ( 8- 8, 86.1)    14-15   
 501 A Covenant School        VA    LIS     ( 6- 7, 80.9)    15-14   
 503 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (14- 6, 87.4)    16-15   
 511 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 75.8)    18- 7   
 514 H Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (14- 6, 92.4)    11-21   
 524 H Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (14- 6, 92.4)    14-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Charlottesville        15-11       4     5          -1.69
   318 A Monticello, VA          9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.80
   323 H Collegiate School       6-17     -11   -18           0.00
   325 A Western Albemarle       8-17      -9   -18           1.00
   401 A St. Anne's-Belfield     8-22     -14   -18           0.00
   415 H St. Catherine's, VA    10-18      -8    -6          -1.61
   420 A Collegiate School       4-16     -12   -20           0.00
   422 H Covenant School        14-19      -5     0    --    -5.57
   429 H Western Albemarle       4-18     -14   -16           0.00
   429 A Trinity Episcopal      14-15      -1    -6    ++     5.52
   501 A Covenant School        15-14       1    -1    +      2.29
   503 H Monticello, VA         16-15       1    -5    +++    6.94
   511 A Charlottesville        18- 7      11     3    +++    6.18
   514 H Battlefield            11-21     -10   -10           0.00
   524 H Battlefield            14-19      -5   -10    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Covenant School        14-19      -5     0    --    -5.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Monticello, VA         16-15       1    -5    +++    6.94
   511 A Charlottesville        18- 7      11     3    +++    6.18
   318 A Monticello, VA          9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.80
   429 A Trinity Episcopal      14-15      -1    -6    ++     5.52
   524 H Battlefield            14-19      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   501 A Covenant School        15-14       1    -1    +      2.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.53 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.83 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/