Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Warner          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8862762    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 3-14, 69.3)    16- 4   
 406 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 72.7)    17- 4   
 408 A Belchertown            MA    West D1 ( 2-15, 64.8)    18- 5   
 412 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 75.2)    18- 8   
 413 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 0-15, 61.2)    15- 3   
 415 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (12-10, 78.1)    17- 6   
 420 H South Windsor          CT    Div 1   ( 6- 9, 81.0)    17- 7   
 422 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 6- 9, 75.2)    15- 8   
 424 A Suffield Academy       NE            (14- 2, 92.3)     9-17   
 427 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 (10- 7, 79.7)    13- 6   
 504 H Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 3, 94.2)     5-18   
 507 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 4, 88.8)    12-11   
 510 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 3-14, 69.3)    16- 2   
 512 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1)    17- 3   
 514 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 (10- 7, 79.7)    17- 2   
 517 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 (12-10, 78.1)    15- 7   
 521 A Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 3, 94.2)     6-18   
 525 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 4, 88.8)     6- 9   
 527 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 7- 9, 75.1)    16- 3   
 608 N Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 4, 88.8)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H West Springfield, MA   16- 4      12    19           0.00
   406 A Amherst-Pelham         17- 4      13    14           0.00
   408 A Belchertown            18- 5      13    22           0.00
   412 A Westfield HS, MA       18- 8      10    11           0.00
   413 A Cathedral, MA          15- 3      12    25           0.00
   415 H South Hadley           17- 6      11    10           0.00
   420 H South Windsor          17- 7      10     7          n/a  
   422 H Westfield HS, MA       15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   424 A Suffield Academy        9-17      -8    -5          n/a  
   427 A East Longmeadow        13- 6       7     7          -0.12
   504 H Longmeadow              5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.32
   507 A Minnechaug             12-11       1    -1    +      2.97
   510 A West Springfield, MA   16- 2      14    17           0.00
   512 H Northampton            17- 3      14    13           0.00
   514 H East Longmeadow        17- 2      15     8           1.21
   517 A South Hadley           15- 7       8     8          -0.76
   521 A Longmeadow              6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.65
   525 H Minnechaug              6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.70
   527 A Northampton            16- 3      13    11           0.00
   608 N Minnechaug             11-12      -1    -1           0.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Longmeadow              5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.32
   422 H Westfield HS, MA       15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   424 A Suffield Academy        9-17      -8    -5    -          
   521 A Longmeadow              6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.65
   525 H Minnechaug              6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H South Windsor          17- 7      10     7    +          
   507 A Minnechaug             12-11       1    -1    +      2.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.66 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.06 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
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