Region = NC    E Cen            
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Mark Brueckner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.8240356    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 A Panther Creek          NC    East    ( 3-11, 74.0)     4-13   
 311 A Cary                   NC    East    ( 5-10, 75.3)     3-16   
 319 A Chapel Hill            NC    E Cen   (11- 4, 93.4)     0-15   
 320 A Ashley                 NC    SE      (12- 4, 88.4)     3-19   
 321 A Cape Fear Academy      NC    SE      (11- 6, 87.2)     3-12   
 323 A Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC    E Cen   ( 5-10, 80.1)     4-16   
 326 A Durham Academy         NC    E Cen   (13- 3, 92.5)     1-22   
 330 H Ravenscroft            NC    Indep   ( 2- 5, 74.9)    10-12   
 331 A Carrboro               NC    E Cen   ( 6- 8, 80.8)     6-16   
 402 H Chapel Hill            NC    E Cen   (11- 4, 93.4)     3-17   
 407 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC    E Cen   ( 5-10, 80.1)     4-17   
 420 H Cary                   NC    East    ( 5-10, 75.3)     5-13   
 421 A Ravenscroft            NC    Indep   ( 2- 5, 74.9)   
 423 A St. Mary's, NC         NC    E Cen   ( 4- 7, 79.2)     4-16   
 428 A East Chapel Hill       NC    E Cen   (10- 4, 94.5)     3-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Panther Creek           4-13      -9    -8          -0.79
   311 A Cary                    3-16     -13    -9          -0.52
   319 A Chapel Hill             0-15     -15   -27           0.00
   320 A Ashley                  3-19     -16   -22           0.00
   321 A Cape Fear Academy       3-12      -9   -21           1.00
   323 A Cardinal Gibbons, NC    4-16     -12   -14           0.00
   326 A Durham Academy          1-22     -21   -26           0.00
   330 H Ravenscroft            10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.34
   331 A Carrboro                6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   402 H Chapel Hill             3-17     -14   -26           0.00
   407 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC    4-17     -13   -13           0.00
   420 H Cary                    5-13      -8    -8           0.74
   423 A St. Mary's, NC          4-16     -12   -13           0.00
   428 A East Chapel Hill        3-20     -17   -28           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Ravenscroft            10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.20 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.72 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.34 Local RPI Rank.............    50
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/