Region = NC    E Cen            
   Nickname = C Crusaders            Coach  =   Prudence Lyon         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2869339    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 H Chapel Hill            NC    E Cen   (11- 4, 93.4)     2-14   
 311 H St. Mary's, NC         NC    E Cen   ( 4- 7, 79.2)     7-12   
 313 A Carrboro               NC    E Cen   ( 6- 8, 80.8)   
 319 A Middle Creek           NC    East    ( 2-10, 72.6)    12- 6   
 323 H Riverside, NC          NC    E Cen   ( 0-14, 66.2)    16- 4   
 324 H East Chapel Hill       NC    E Cen   (10- 4, 94.5)     3-14   
 326 A Wakefield, NC          NC    East    (11- 5, 90.4)     6-13   
 330 H Panther Creek          NC    East    ( 3-11, 74.0)    14- 2   
 401 H Green Hope             NC    East    (10- 9, 88.3)     5-12   
 404 A Charlotte CDS          NC    West    (11- 3, 93.3)     9-10   
 404 N Marvin Ridge           NC    SW      (15- 3, 99.8)     1-15   
 407 A Riverside, NC          NC    E Cen   ( 0-14, 66.2)    17- 4   
 420 A St. Mary's, NC         NC    E Cen   ( 4- 7, 79.2)    13-10   
 422 H Carrboro               NC    E Cen   ( 6- 8, 80.8)    11-12  o
 427 A Chapel Hill            NC    E Cen   (11- 4, 93.4)     1-14   
 428 A Durham Academy         NC    E Cen   (13- 3, 92.5)     8-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Chapel Hill             2-14     -12   -12           0.00
   311 H St. Mary's, NC          7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.28
   319 A Middle Creek           12- 6       6     7          -1.21
   323 H Riverside, NC          16- 4      12    14           0.00
   324 H East Chapel Hill        3-14     -11   -13           0.00
   326 A Wakefield, NC           6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   330 H Panther Creek          14- 2      12     6    +      3.53
   401 H Green Hope              5-12      -7    -7           0.75
   404 A Charlotte CDS           9-10      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   404 N Marvin Ridge            1-15     -14   -19           0.00
   407 A Riverside, NC          17- 4      13    13           0.00
   420 A St. Mary's, NC         13-10       3     0    +      2.46
   422 H Carrboro               11-12  o   -1     0          -0.73
   427 A Chapel Hill             1-14     -13   -13           0.00
   428 A Durham Academy          8-20     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H St. Mary's, NC          7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Charlotte CDS           9-10      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   326 A Wakefield, NC           6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   330 H Panther Creek          14- 2      12     6    +      3.53
   420 A St. Mary's, NC         13-10       3     0    +      2.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.14 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.07 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/