Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Trojans              Coach  =   Ronald Wilson         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4970703    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 89.3)   
 407 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 96.2)     9-10  o
 409 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 96.4)     5-15   
 411 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 90.1)     3-19   
 423 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-11, 87.9)     9- 8   
 424 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 8, 87.1)     3- 9   
 426 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 90.6)     2- 9   
 428 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 78.1)    13- 2   
 430 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 78.5)   
 502 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 96.2)     7-12   
 503 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-16, 71.9)    13- 8   
 505 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 96.4)     7- 9   
 507 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 82.5)    14- 9   
 509 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 8, 87.1)    18-14   
 512 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 90.6)     8- 7   
 514 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 78.1)    15- 9   
 515 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 78.5)    12- 1   
 528 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 82.5)    17-11   
 530 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 96.4)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Lake Shore              9-10  o   -1    -5    ++     4.57
   409 A Hamburg                 5-15     -10    -8          -1.26
   411 A Penfield                3-19     -16    -1          n/a  
   423 A Clarence                9- 8       1     0           1.22
   424 A Niagara-Wheatfield      3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.54
   426 H West Seneca West        2- 9      -7     0    ---   -6.99
   428 H Sweet Home             13- 2      11    12           0.00
   502 A Lake Shore              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.57
   503 A Geneva                 13- 8       5    16          n/a  
   505 H Hamburg                 7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.74
   507 H Williamsville East     14- 9       5     8    -     -3.13
   509 H Niagara-Wheatfield     18-14       4     3           0.46
   512 A West Seneca West        8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.01
   514 A Sweet Home             15- 9       6     9    -     -3.54
   515 H Grand Island           12- 1      11    12           0.00
   528 H Williamsville East     17-11       6     8    -     -2.13
   530 A Hamburg                 8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Penfield                3-19     -16    -1    ---        
   424 A Niagara-Wheatfield      3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.54
   426 H West Seneca West        2- 9      -7     0    ---   -6.99
   503 A Geneva                 13- 8       5    16    --         
   507 H Williamsville East     14- 9       5     8    -     -3.13
   514 A Sweet Home             15- 9       6     9    -     -3.54
   528 H Williamsville East     17-11       6     8    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 A Hamburg                 8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.74
   407 H Lake Shore              9-10  o   -1    -5    ++     4.57
   512 A West Seneca West        8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.01
   502 A Lake Shore              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.57
   505 H Hamburg                 7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.14 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.50 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/