Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials                                             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2821503    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Westhampton Beach      NY C  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 70.3)     7- 5   
 326 H Bellport               NY B  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 75.7)    13- 4   
 331 A Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 78.2)    12- 7   
 402 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.7)     2-23   
 408 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 94.3)     3-12   
 410 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 72.4)     4- 6   
 414 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-16, 61.3)    17- 1   
 416 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 67.7)    16- 6   
 418 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 83.2)     7-11   
 422 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.4)    17- 6   
 428 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.1)    13-10   
 430 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 85.0)    12-13   
 502 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 94.5)     4-23   
 506 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 78.7)    12-11   
 508 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 87.2)    12- 9   
 514 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 3, 99.9)     2-21   
 520 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 74.8)    18-10   
 522 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 85.0)    10- 8   
 529 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 3, 99.9)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Westhampton Beach       7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   326 H Bellport               13- 4       9     6    +      2.61
   331 A Deer Park              12- 7       5     2    +      2.12
   402 H North Babylon           2-23     -21    -9          -0.47
   408 A West Islip              3-12      -9   -13           1.00
   410 A Patchogue-Medford       4- 6      -2     8    ---  -10.69
   414 H Copiague               17- 1      16    20           0.00
   416 A Brentwood, NY          16- 6      10    13           0.00
   418 H Commack                 7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.91
   422 H Middle Country         17- 6      11     7    +      2.31
   428 A Walt Whitman, NY       13-10       3     1           1.01
   430 H Sachem East            12-13      -1    -2           1.89
   502 H West Babylon            4-23     -19   -12           0.00
   506 A Connetquot             12-11       1     2          -1.44
   508 H Ward Melville          12- 9       3    -5    +++    8.08
   514 A Northport               2-21     -19   -18           0.00
   520 A Half Hollow Hills      18-10       8     6           1.72
   522 A Sachem East            10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.90
   529 A Northport               2-19     -17   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Westhampton Beach       7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   410 A Patchogue-Medford       4- 6      -2     8    ---  -10.69
   418 H Commack                 7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Ward Melville          12- 9       3    -5    +++    8.08
   522 A Sachem East            10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.90
   326 H Bellport               13- 4       9     6    +      2.61
   331 A Deer Park              12- 7       5     2    +      2.12
   422 H Middle Country         17- 6      11     7    +      2.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.61 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.34 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/