Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Erin Blaney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9882126    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.6)    20-12   
 402 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 85.0)    10-13   
 404 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 94.3)    13-15   
 408 A St. Anthony's          NY            (12- 3, 99.9)    13-15   
 410 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 78.7)    14- 6   
 416 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.4)    11-10   
 418 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 3, 99.9)     6-16   
 422 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (14- 6, 92.9)    14- 8   
 424 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 94.5)     9-18   
 430 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.7)    18-23   
 502 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 85.4)    18-13   
 506 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 94.4)     9-13   
 508 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 81.6)     9-12   
 510 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 83.2)    12-11   
 514 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 72.4)    22- 5   
 516 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 86.1)    11- 9   
 520 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 88.2)    12-14   
 522 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 88.2)    18-17   
 529 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 94.4)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Sayville               20-12       8     1    +++    6.84
   402 A Sachem East            10-13      -3     1    --    -4.68
   404 H West Islip             13-15      -2    -6    ++     4.62
   408 A St. Anthony's          13-15      -2   -12          n/a  
   410 H Connetquot             14- 6       8     9          -1.04
   416 A Sachem North           11-10       1     3    -     -2.33
   418 A Northport               6-16     -10   -13           0.00
   422 H Yorktown, NY           14- 8       6    -4          n/a  
   424 H West Babylon            9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.23
   430 H North Babylon          18-23      -5    -3          -1.06
   502 A Lindenhurst            18-13       5     1    +      3.68
   506 H Bay Shore               9-13      -4    -6    +      2.71
   508 A William Floyd           9-12      -3     5    ---   -8.08
   510 H Commack                12-11       1     4    -     -3.50
   514 H Patchogue-Medford      22- 5      17    15           0.00
   516 A Smithtown East         11- 9       2     0           1.44
   520 A East Islip             12-14      -2    -1          -0.45
   522 A East Islip             18-17       1    -1    +      2.55
   529 A Bay Shore              11-15      -4    -7    +      3.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A William Floyd           9-12      -3     5    ---   -8.08
   402 A Sachem East            10-13      -3     1    --    -4.68
   416 A Sachem North           11-10       1     3    -     -2.33
   424 H West Babylon            9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.23
   510 H Commack                12-11       1     4    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Sayville               20-12       8     1    +++    6.84
   408 A St. Anthony's          13-15      -2   -12    +++        
   422 H Yorktown, NY           14- 8       6    -4    +++        
   404 H West Islip             13-15      -2    -6    ++     4.62
   502 A Lindenhurst            18-13       5     1    +      3.68
   506 H Bay Shore               9-13      -4    -6    +      2.71
   522 A East Islip             18-17       1    -1    +      2.55
   529 A Bay Shore              11-15      -4    -7    +      3.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.20 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.46 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/