Stillwater                    6 - 6


 
                                     Region = MN MSHSL               
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Rick Reidt            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   88.1200714    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 416 H Mahtomedi              MN MSHSL      (11- 2, 90.0)     8-12   
 417 A Roseville Area         MN MSHSL      ( 3- 6, 82.3)     6- 5   
 422 N South Washington Count MN MSHSL      ( 7- 6, 84.1)     6-13   
 428 A Maple Grove            MN MSHSL      ( 6- 4, 82.9)    10- 7   
 429 H Owatonna               MN MSHSL      ( 2- 5, 74.7)    14- 3   
 430 A Cretin-Derham Hall     MN MSHSL      ( 5- 6, 81.7)     6- 7   
 501 H Mounds View            MN MSHSL      ( 2- 7, 78.1)    12- 6   
 505 A Mahtomedi              MN MSHSL      (11- 2, 90.0)    11-12   
 506 A White Bear Lake        MN NSLA-N     ( 0- 6, 74.9)    12- 3   
 509 A Centennial, MN         MN MSHSL      (13- 1, 91.2)    11-13   
 512 H Roseville Area         MN MSHSL      ( 3- 6, 82.3)     8- 5   
 513 A Centennial, MN         MN MSHSL      (13- 1, 91.2)     5- 7   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Mahtomedi               8-12      -4    -4           0.36
   417 A Roseville Area          6- 5       1     1          -0.95
   422 N South Washington Count  6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.86
   428 A Maple Grove            10- 7       3     1           1.66
   429 H Owatonna               14- 3      11    10           0.00
   430 A Cretin-Derham Hall      6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.53
   501 H Mounds View            12- 6       6     7          -1.53
   505 A Mahtomedi              11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.70
   506 A White Bear Lake        12- 3       9     9          n/a  
   509 A Centennial, MN         11-13      -2    -6    ++     4.93
   512 H Roseville Area          8- 5       3     3          -0.29
   513 A Centennial, MN          5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.93


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 N South Washington Count  6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.86
   430 A Cretin-Derham Hall      6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.53


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Mahtomedi              11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.70
   509 A Centennial, MN         11-13      -2    -6    ++     4.93
   513 A Centennial, MN          5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.93




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.94 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.48 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3


  
/